Prediction: Lagomar vs Verdirrojo
Team pages: Lagomar · Verdirrojo
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Verdirrojo74-65Lagomar
- Lagomar106-90Verdirrojo
- Verdirrojo87-63Lagomar
- Lagomar103-80Verdirrojo
- Verdirrojo75-72Lagomar
- Lagomar69-73Verdirrojo
| Lagomar | Verdirrojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Verdirrojo: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Lagomar | Verdirrojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.5 / 74 | 78.6 / 70.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.6 / 72.6 | 81 / 71 |
| Est. result | 75 | 75 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lagomar 2–0–4 Verdirrojo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Verdirrojo | 74-65 | Lagomar |
| 05/08/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Lagomar | 106-90 | Verdirrojo |
| 21/06/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Verdirrojo | 87-63 | Lagomar |
| 10/08/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Lagomar | 103-80 | Verdirrojo |
| 05/06/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Verdirrojo | 75-72 | Lagomar |
| 19/09/23 Uruguay Metro League | Lagomar | 69-73 | Verdirrojo |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1414 | 1217 | 31 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1430 | 1270 | 30 |
| 3 | Verdirrojo | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1331 | 1229 | 30 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1297 | 1177 | 29 |
| 5 | Lagomar | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1293 | 1309 | 27 |
| 6 | Tabare | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1352 | 1309 | 25 |
| 7 | Sayago | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1308 | 1311 | 25 |
| 8 | Urupan de Pando | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1306 | 1356 | 24 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lagomar | Verdirrojo |
|---|---|---|
| Tabare | 67-61 W | 78-72 W |
| Olimpia | 69-84 L | 84-75 W |
| Albatros | 94-85 W | 94-71 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Verdirrojo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lagomar
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
67-61 | W |
| 12/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-68 | W |
| 08/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-80 | W |
| 01/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-84 | L |
| 29/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-70 | W |
| 26/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
71-61 | W |
| 24/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
89-80 | W |
| 21/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
94-85 | W |
| 17/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
63-77 | L |
| 15/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
65-74 | L |
Verdirrojo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-68 | W |
| 11/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-69 | W |
| 08/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-75 | W |
| 01/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-72 | W |
| 28/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
94-71 | W |
| 25/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-66 | W |
| 18/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
59-69 | L |
| 15/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-65 | W |
| 10/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-84 | L |
| 07/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-65 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lagomar vs Verdirrojo?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Lagomar 52% · Verdirrojo 48%).
How many points are expected in Lagomar vs Verdirrojo?
The model estimates 149.9 total points (Lagomar 75.3 · Verdirrojo 74.6).