Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 19/08, 01:15
Prediction: Olimpia vs Sayago
Prediction summary
Estimated points
148.8Total
Olimpia78.5
Sayago70.3
1X2
Olimpia
Sayago
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Sayago
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia
4–2
Sayago
(6 last)
- Sayago78-90Olimpia
- Olimpia92-59Sayago
- Sayago83-65Olimpia
- Sayago99-77Olimpia
- Sayago75-79Olimpia
- Sayago82-89Olimpia
Model analysis
Estimated points148.8Olimpia 78.5 · Sayago 70.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia (rating 1575 vs 1504).
- Olimpia is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Olimpia: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Olimpia | Sayago | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.4 / 71 | 72.4 / 71.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.8 / 73.8 | 62.6 / 69.2 |
| Est. result | 79 | 70 |
Est. total148.8
Line O/U155.5
Diff.6.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia 4–0–2 Sayago
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 78-90 | Olimpia |
| 11/09/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olimpia | 92-59 | Sayago |
| 13/07/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 83-65 | Olimpia |
| 30/08/23 Uruguay Metro League | Sayago | 99-77 | Olimpia |
| 21/06/23 Uruguay Metro League | Sayago | 75-79 | Olimpia |
| 11/02/20 Uruguay Liga | Sayago | 82-89 | Olimpia |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1414 | 1217 | 31 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1430 | 1270 | 30 |
| 3 | Verdirrojo | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1331 | 1229 | 30 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1297 | 1177 | 29 |
| 5 | Lagomar | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1293 | 1309 | 27 |
| 6 | Tabare | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1352 | 1309 | 25 |
| 7 | Sayago | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1308 | 1311 | 25 |
| 8 | Urupan de Pando | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1306 | 1356 | 24 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olimpia | Sayago |
|---|---|---|
| Trouville | 73-75 L | 30-38 L |
| Urupan de Pando | 97-63 W | 64-63 W |
| Lagomar | 84-69 W | 68-78 L |
| Tabare | 66-69 L | 91-86 W |
| Stockolmo | 86-74 W | 73-77 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-75 | L |
| 11/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-63 | W |
| 08/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-84 | L |
| 01/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-69 | W |
| 28/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-78 | W |
| 25/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
93-81 | W |
| 22/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
61-58 | W |
| 18/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-59 | W |
| 15/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-69 | L |
| 10/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
86-74 | W |
Sayago
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
64-63 | W |
| 12/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-78 | L |
| 09/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-77 | L |
| 01/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
30-38 | L |
| 28/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-90 | L |
| 25/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
91-86 | W |
| 21/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-75 | L |
| 18/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-73 | W |
| 14/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-63 | W |
| 11/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-72 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia vs Sayago?
Our model gives 72% to Olimpia.
How many points are expected in Olimpia vs Sayago?
The model estimates 148.8 total points (Olimpia 78.5 · Sayago 70.3).