Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 19/08, 01:15
Prediction: Montevideo vs Olivol Mundial
Team pages: Montevideo · Olivol Mundial
Prediction summary
Estimated points
153.9Total
Montevideo81.4
Olivol Mundial72.4
1X2
Montevideo
Olivol Mundial
Recent form · 10 last
Montevideo
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Olivol Mundial
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montevideo
1–3
Olivol Mundial
(4 last)
- Olivol Mundial76-72Montevideo
- Olivol Mundial73-63Montevideo
- Montevideo98-82Olivol Mundial
- Montevideo70-79Olivol Mundial
Model analysis
Estimated points153.9Montevideo 81.4 · Olivol Mundial 72.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montevideo (rating 1541 vs 1449).
- Montevideo is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours Olivol Mundial: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Montevideo | Olivol Mundial | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 88.2 / 79.8 | 68.9 / 73.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 93.2 / 78.6 | 75 / 74.4 |
| Est. result | 81 | 72 |
Est. total153.9
Line O/U157.5
Diff.3.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montevideo 1–0–3 Olivol Mundial
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olivol Mundial | 76-72 | Montevideo |
| 31/07/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olivol Mundial | 73-63 | Montevideo |
| 16/05/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Montevideo | 98-82 | Olivol Mundial |
| 14/11/19 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Montevideo | 70-79 | Olivol Mundial |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1320 | 1252 | 23 |
| 2 | Larre Borges | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1213 | 1221 | 22 |
| 3 | Olivol Mundial | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1041 | 1130 | 20 |
| 4 | Marne | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1117 | 1244 | 19 |
| 5 | Albatros | 15 | 2 | 13 | 1168 | 1338 | 17 |
| 6 | Colon | 15 | 2 | 13 | 1047 | 1274 | 17 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montevideo | Olivol Mundial |
|---|---|---|
| Albatros | 96-87 W | 70-66 W |
| Marne | 82-90 L | 68-74 L |
| Stockolmo | 87-75 W | 54-72 L |
| Colon | 99-74 W | 83-72 W |
| Larre Borges | 103-85 W | 90-76 W |
| Verdirrojo | 65-92 L | 66-76 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Montevideo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
96-87 | W |
| 06/08 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-90 | L |
| 29/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-75 | W |
| 26/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
102-67 | W |
| 21/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
99-74 | W |
| 17/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-70 | W |
| 14/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
103-85 | W |
| 11/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-66 | W |
| 07/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
65-92 | L |
| 04/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-92 | L |
Olivol Mundial
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-72 | W |
| 05/08 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-76 | W |
| 28/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-87 | L |
| 25/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-76 | L |
| 22/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
58-61 | L |
| 18/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
58-74 | L |
| 15/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-72 | L |
| 12/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-74 | L |
| 08/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
64-74 | L |
| 05/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-66 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montevideo vs Olivol Mundial?
Our model gives 74% to Montevideo.
How many points are expected in Montevideo vs Olivol Mundial?
The model estimates 153.9 total points (Montevideo 81.4 · Olivol Mundial 72.4).