Prediction: Jonava vs Neptunas
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Neptunas95-89Jonava
- Jonava81-64Neptunas
- Jonava117-124Neptunas
- Neptunas117-113Jonava
- Jonava93-98Neptunas
- Neptunas97-98Jonava
Match keys
- H2H favours Neptunas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Jonava | Neptunas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84 / 86 | 81.3 / 81.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.8 / 78.8 | 82.4 / 82.4 |
| Est. result | 88 | 86 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonava 2–0–4 Neptunas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Lithuania LKL | Neptunas | 95-89 | Jonava |
| 21/03/26 Lithuania LKL | Jonava | 81-64 | Neptunas |
| 07/12/25 Lithuania LKL | Jonava | 117-124 | Neptunas |
| 26/10/25 Lithuania LKL | Neptunas | 117-113 | Jonava |
| 20/05/25 Lithuania LKL | Jonava | 93-98 | Neptunas |
| 05/04/25 Lithuania LKL | Neptunas | 97-98 | Jonava |
Standings · Lithuania LKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris | 5 | 5 | 0 | 469 | 372 | 0 |
| 2 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 461 | 439 | 0 |
| 3 | Siauliai | 5 | 3 | 2 | 409 | 402 | 0 |
| 4 | Jonava | 4 | 2 | 2 | 309 | 304 | 0 |
| 5 | Juventus | 5 | 2 | 3 | 424 | 420 | 0 |
| 6 | Neptunas | 5 | 2 | 3 | 412 | 412 | 0 |
| 7 | Lietkabelis | 5 | 2 | 3 | 379 | 415 | 0 |
| 8 | Rytas Vilnius | 2 | 1 | 1 | 188 | 182 | 0 |
| 9 | Taurage | 4 | 1 | 3 | 333 | 370 | 0 |
| 10 | Nevezis | 4 | 0 | 4 | 280 | 348 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jonava | Neptunas |
|---|---|---|
| Lietkabelis | 71-65 W | 91-82 W |
| Nevezis | 85-65 W | 89-62 W |
| Zalgiris | 75-90 L | 69-93 L |
| Juventus | 90-95 L | 99-84 W |
| Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 109-104 W | 78-87 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Neptunas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jonava
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
71-65 | W |
| 03/10 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
63-79 | L |
| 22/09 | Nevezis Lithuania LKL |
85-65 | W |
| 19/09 | Taurages Taurage Lithuania LKL |
90-95 | L |
| 22/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
75-90 | L |
| 20/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
82-102 | L |
| 17/05 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
89-95 | L |
| 12/05 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
90-95 | L |
| 09/05 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
86-70 | W |
| 02/05 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
109-104 | W |
Neptunas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL |
77-86 | L |
| 03/10 | Nevezis Lithuania LKL |
89-62 | W |
| 26/09 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
78-87 | L |
| 23/09 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
99-84 | W |
| 20/09 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
69-93 | L |
| 13/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
91-82 | W |
| 11/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
66-63 | W |
| 08/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
68-80 | L |
| 06/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
86-73 | W |
| 03/06 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
90-103 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jonava vs Neptunas?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Jonava 55% · Neptunas 45%).
How many points are expected in Jonava vs Neptunas?
The model estimates 173.2 total points (Jonava 87.5 · Neptunas 85.7).
Over or under 166.5 points?
Recent history points to under 166.5 points (65%).