Basketball · France Nationale 1 · 02/10, 20:00
Prediction: Orchies vs Pays Salonais
Team pages: Orchies · Pays Salonais
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.4Total
Orchies80.5
Pays Salonais77
1X2
Orchies
Pays Salonais
Recent form · 10 last
Orchies
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Pays Salonais
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orchies
2–0
Pays Salonais
(2 last)
- Orchies92-88Pays Salonais
- Pays Salonais69-77Orchies
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orchies 1534 · Pays Salonais 1514
| Orchies | Pays Salonais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.4 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · +3.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.4Orchies 80.5 · Pays Salonais 77
Match keys
- H2H favours Orchies: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Orchies | Pays Salonais | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.6 / 73.3 | 82.7 / 75 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.6 / 67.8 | 79.8 / 77.6 |
| Est. result | 81 | 77 |
Est. total157.4
Line O/U153.5
Diff.3.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orchies 2–0–0 Pays Salonais
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/25 France Nationale 1 | Orchies | 92-88 | Pays Salonais |
| 26/09/25 France Nationale 1 | Pays Salonais | 69-77 | Orchies |
Standings · France Nationale 1 · Nationale 1 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orchies | 3 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 191 | 5 |
| 2 | SCABB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 263 | 233 | 5 |
| 3 | Loon Plage | 3 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 244 | 5 |
| 4 | Saint-Vallier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 206 | 5 |
| 5 | Mulhouse | 3 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 243 | 5 |
| 6 | Val de Seine | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 265 | 5 |
| 7 | Berck/Rang du Fliers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 124 | 4 |
| 8 | LYONSO | 3 | 1 | 2 | 190 | 231 | 4 |
| 9 | Boulogne Sur Mer | 2 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 149 | 3 |
| 10 | Charleville-Mézières | 3 | 0 | 3 | 248 | 277 | 3 |
| 11 | Besancon Avenir Comtois | 2 | 0 | 2 | 144 | 155 | 2 |
| 12 | Pays Salonais | 2 | 0 | 2 | 136 | 158 | 2 |
| 13 | Fos-sur-Mer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Pole France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orchies
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Val de Seine France Nationale 1 |
92-70 | W |
| 25/09 | LYONSO France Nationale 1 |
100-57 | W |
| 18/09 | Saint-Vallier France Nationale 1 |
61-64 | L |
| 24/05 | Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1 |
61-77 | L |
| 22/05 | Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1 |
64-71 | L |
| 15/05 | Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1 |
81-63 | W |
| 08/05 | Toulouse France Nationale 1 |
85-71 | W |
| 05/05 | Union Tarbes Lourdes France Nationale 1 |
89-95 | L |
| 01/05 | Les Sables Vendee France Nationale 1 |
77-75 | W |
| 26/04 | Union Tours Basket Metropole France Nationale 1 |
86-90 | L |
Pays Salonais
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Berck/Rang du Fliers France Nationale 1 |
64-84 | L |
| 18/09 | Boulogne Sur Mer France Nationale 1 |
72-74 | L |
| 08/05 | Pole France France Nationale 1 |
91-76 | W |
| 05/05 | Vitre Aurore France Nationale 1 |
85-74 | W |
| 30/04 | Union Rennes Basket 35 France Nationale 1 |
87-80 | W |
| 26/04 | Poissy Basket France Nationale 1 |
92-65 | W |
| 21/04 | Angers BC France Nationale 1 |
75-72 | W |
| 17/04 | C’Chartres Basket M France Nationale 1 |
97-81 | W |
| 10/04 | Val de Seine France Nationale 1 |
62-82 | L |
| 03/04 | Pole France France Nationale 1 |
102-62 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orchies vs Pays Salonais?
Our model gives 60% to Orchies.
How many points are expected in Orchies vs Pays Salonais?
The model estimates 157.4 total points (Orchies 80.5 · Pays Salonais 77).