Basketball · France Nationale 1 · 09/10, 20:30

Prediction: CEP Lorient vs Pays de Fougères Basket

Team pages: CEP Lorient · Pays de Fougères Basket

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151Total

CEP Lorient79.4

Pays de Fougères Basket71.6

1X2

71% 29%

CEP Lorient Pays de Fougères Basket

Recent form · 10 last

CEP Lorient 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Pays de Fougères Basket 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CEP Lorient 1–5 Pays de Fougères Basket (6 last)

Pays de Fougères Basket64-59CEP Lorient
Pays de Fougères Basket95-75CEP Lorient
CEP Lorient97-63Pays de Fougères Basket
Pays de Fougères Basket83-72CEP Lorient
Pays de Fougères Basket88-84CEP Lorient
CEP Lorient91-96Pays de Fougères Basket

Model analysis

Estimated points151CEP Lorient 79.4 · Pays de Fougères Basket 71.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CEP Lorient (rating 1538 vs 1470).
CEP Lorient is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Pays de Fougères Basket: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CEP Lorient	Pays de Fougères Basket
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.7 / 73.8	74 / 78.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.4 / 76.2	78 / 75.8
Est. result	79	72

Est. total151

Line O/U151

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1511.83

Under 1511.84

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 152.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Pinn 1.25
2	3.22 → 3.22	Pinn 3.22

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	2
20:47 +19’	1.25	3.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CEP Lorient 1–0–5 Pays de Fougères Basket

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Club Friendlies	Pays de Fougères Basket	64-59	CEP Lorient
20/01/26 France Nationale 1	Pays de Fougères Basket	95-75	CEP Lorient
21/10/25 France Nationale 1	CEP Lorient	97-63	Pays de Fougères Basket
12/09/25 Coupe De France	Pays de Fougères Basket	83-72	CEP Lorient
13/12/24 France Nationale 1	Pays de Fougères Basket	88-84	CEP Lorient
27/09/24 France Nationale 1	CEP Lorient	91-96	Pays de Fougères Basket

Standings · France Nationale 1 · Nationale 1 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CEP Lorient	4	3	1	309	290	7
2	Vendee Challans Basket	3	3	0	256	226	6
3	Union Tours Basket Metropole	4	2	2	317	316	6
4	Union Tarbes Lourdes	3	2	1	251	233	5
5	Angers BC	3	2	1	192	185	5
6	Pays de Fougères Basket	3	2	1	209	211	5
7	JSA Bordeaux	4	1	3	295	311	5
8	Union Rennes Basket 35	3	1	2	255	252	4
9	C’Chartres Basket M	3	1	2	251	257	4
10	Les Sables Vendee	3	1	2	208	221	4
11	Vitre Aurore	2	1	1	132	136	3
12	Toulouse	2	1	1	164	171	3
13	US Laval	3	0	3	222	252	3
14	Pole France	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CEP Lorient	Pays de Fougères Basket
Le Havre	102-74 W	73-77 L
Fos-sur-Mer	72-65 W	55-70 L
Berck/Rang du Fliers	79-77 W	67-80 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CEP Lorient (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CEP Lorient

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	JSA Bordeaux France Nationale 1	77-70	W
29/09	Vitre Aurore France Nationale 1	70-63	W
25/09	Union Tours Basket Metropole France Nationale 1	80-84	L
18/09	US Laval France Nationale 1	82-73	W
05/06	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	73-91	L
29/05	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	67-75	L
22/05	Le Havre France Nationale 1	102-74	W
15/05	Le Havre France Nationale 1	85-66	W
08/05	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	72-65	W
05/05	Berck/Rang du Fliers France Nationale 1	79-77	W

Pays de Fougères Basket

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Union Tarbes Lourdes France Nationale 1	79-96	L
29/09	Angers BC France Nationale 1	64-54	W
25/09	Les Sables Vendee France Nationale 1	66-61	W
08/05	Boulogne Sur Mer France Nationale 1	87-86	W
05/05	Loon Plage France Nationale 1	94-82	W
30/04	Mulhouse France Nationale 1	79-99	L
26/04	Berck/Rang du Fliers France Nationale 1	67-80	L
21/04	Orchies France Nationale 1	76-78	L
17/04	Le Havre France Nationale 1	73-77	L
10/04	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	55-70	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CEP Lorient vs Pays de Fougères Basket?

Our model gives 71% to CEP Lorient.

How many points are expected in CEP Lorient vs Pays de Fougères Basket?

The model estimates 151 total points (CEP Lorient 79.4 · Pays de Fougères Basket 71.6).