Basketball · France Nationale 1 · 09/10, 20:00

Prediction: Mulhouse vs Orchies

Team pages: Mulhouse · Orchies

Prediction summary

Estimated points

153.3Total

Mulhouse77.9

Orchies75.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Mulhouse Orchies

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Mulhouse 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Orchies 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mulhouse 3–3 Orchies (6 last)

Mulhouse78-68Orchies
Orchies72-69Mulhouse
Orchies87-72Mulhouse
Mulhouse89-71Orchies
Mulhouse100-73Orchies
Orchies86-84Mulhouse

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mulhouse 1523 · Orchies 1530

	Mulhouse	Orchies
Our model	62%	38%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 153.3 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points153.3Mulhouse 77.9 · Orchies 75.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mulhouse	Orchies
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.5 / 73.1	79.5 / 72.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.6 / 79.2	79.8 / 69.4
Est. result	78	75

Est. total153.3

Line O/U152.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 152.51.83

Under 152.51.83

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 152.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
2	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
16:56 +3’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mulhouse 3–0–3 Orchies

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/12/25 France Nationale 1	Mulhouse	78-68	Orchies
14/10/25 France Nationale 1	Orchies	72-69	Mulhouse
21/01/25 France Nationale 1	Orchies	87-72	Mulhouse
23/10/24 France Nationale 1	Mulhouse	89-71	Orchies
22/12/23 France Nationale 1	Mulhouse	100-73	Orchies
13/10/23 France Nationale 1	Orchies	86-84	Mulhouse

Standings · France Nationale 1 · Nationale 1 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orchies	4	3	1	338	270	7
2	Loon Plage	4	3	1	330	317	7
3	Mulhouse	4	3	1	313	314	7
4	Berck/Rang du Fliers	3	3	0	238	193	6
5	SCABB	4	2	2	336	314	6
6	Saint-Vallier	4	2	2	281	279	6
7	LYONSO	4	2	2	210	231	6
8	Val de Seine	4	2	2	315	352	6
9	Charleville-Mézières	4	1	3	335	356	5
10	Boulogne Sur Mer	2	1	1	146	149	3
11	Besancon Avenir Comtois	3	0	3	223	242	3
12	Pays Salonais	3	0	3	215	243	3
13	Pole France	1	0	1	0	20	1
14	Fos-sur-Mer	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mulhouse	Orchies
Saint-Vallier	73-71 W	61-64 L
Fos-sur-Mer	78-55 W	61-77 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mulhouse (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mulhouse

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Saint-Vallier France Nationale 1	73-71	W
29/09	Charleville-Mézières France Nationale 1	97-90	W
26/09	SCABB France Nationale 1	71-83	L
22/09	Loon Plage France Nationale 1	72-70	W
21/06	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	75-82	L
19/06	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	70-66	W
12/06	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	84-89	L
05/06	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	78-55	W
29/05	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	79-54	W
22/05	Union Tours Basket Metropole France Nationale 1	96-71	W

Orchies

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Pays Salonais France Nationale 1	85-79	W
29/09	Val de Seine France Nationale 1	92-70	W
25/09	LYONSO France Nationale 1	100-57	W
18/09	Saint-Vallier France Nationale 1	61-64	L
24/05	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	61-77	L
22/05	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	64-71	L
15/05	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	81-63	W
08/05	Toulouse France Nationale 1	85-71	W
05/05	Union Tarbes Lourdes France Nationale 1	89-95	L
01/05	Les Sables Vendee France Nationale 1	77-75	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mulhouse vs Orchies?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Mulhouse 57% · Orchies 43%).

How many points are expected in Mulhouse vs Orchies?

The model estimates 153.3 total points (Mulhouse 77.9 · Orchies 75.4).