Basketball · France Nationale 1 · 02/10, 20:30

Prediction: Toulouse vs Union Tours Basket Metropole

Team pages: Toulouse · Union Tours Basket Metropole

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.7Total

Toulouse87.9

Union Tours Basket Metropole84.8

1X2

59% 41%

Toulouse Union Tours Basket Metropole

Recent form · 10 last

Toulouse 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Union Tours Basket Metropole 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Toulouse 2–4 Union Tours Basket Metropole (6 last)

Toulouse86-89Union Tours Basket Metropole
Union Tours Basket Metropole83-82Toulouse
Union Tours Basket Metropole81-88Toulouse
Toulouse49-78Union Tours Basket Metropole
Union Tours Basket Metropole81-75Toulouse
Toulouse81-79Union Tours Basket Metropole

Model analysis

Estimated points172.7Toulouse 87.9 · Union Tours Basket Metropole 84.8

Match keys

H2H favours Union Tours Basket Metropole: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Toulouse	Union Tours Basket Metropole
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.4 / 85.3	83.7 / 87.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.6 / 84.8	75 / 84.4
Est. result	88	85

Est. total172.7

Line O/U165.5

Diff.7.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.81

Under 165.51.85

Diff.: 4 · Est. total: 169.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.59	Pinn 1.59
2	2.14 → 2.14	Pinn 2.14

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	2
20:47 +14’	1.59	2.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Toulouse 2–0–4 Union Tours Basket Metropole

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/12/25 France Nationale 1	Toulouse	86-89	Union Tours Basket Metropole
26/09/25 France Nationale 1	Union Tours Basket Metropole	83-82	Toulouse
13/12/24 France Nationale 1	Union Tours Basket Metropole	81-88	Toulouse
05/12/23 France Nationale 1	Toulouse	49-78	Union Tours Basket Metropole
26/09/23 France Nationale 1	Union Tours Basket Metropole	81-75	Toulouse
24/01/23 France Nationale 1	Toulouse	81-79	Union Tours Basket Metropole

Standings · France Nationale 1 · Nationale 1 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CEP Lorient	3	2	1	232	220	5
2	Angers BC	3	2	1	192	185	5
3	Vendee Challans Basket	2	2	0	167	139	4
4	Pays de Fougères Basket	2	2	0	130	115	4
5	Union Tours Basket Metropole	3	1	2	231	239	4
6	JSA Bordeaux	3	1	2	225	234	4
7	Les Sables Vendee	3	1	2	208	221	4
8	Union Rennes Basket 35	2	1	1	166	149	3
9	Union Tarbes Lourdes	2	1	1	155	154	3
10	Vitre Aurore	2	1	1	132	136	3
11	Toulouse	1	1	0	87	85	2
12	C’Chartres Basket M	2	0	2	148	168	2
13	US Laval	2	0	2	135	163	2
14	Pole France	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Toulouse	Union Tours Basket Metropole
Orchies	71-85 L	90-86 W
Loon Plage	91-96 L	105-102 W
Fos-sur-Mer	90-70 W	79-69 W
Berck/Rang du Fliers	79-88 L	83-97 L
Mulhouse	82-81 W	71-96 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Toulouse (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Toulouse

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Union Rennes Basket 35 France Nationale 1	87-85	W
08/05	Orchies France Nationale 1	71-85	L
05/05	Boulogne Sur Mer France Nationale 1	84-88	L
01/05	Loon Plage France Nationale 1	91-96	L
26/04	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	90-70	W
21/04	Le Havre France Nationale 1	80-82	L
17/04	Berck/Rang du Fliers France Nationale 1	79-88	L
08/04	Mulhouse France Nationale 1	82-81	W
03/04	Orchies France Nationale 1	94-87	W
31/03	Boulogne Sur Mer France Nationale 1	66-91	L

Union Tours Basket Metropole

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/09	JSA Bordeaux France Nationale 1	82-84	L
25/09	CEP Lorient France Nationale 1	84-80	W
18/09	Angers BC France Nationale 1	65-75	L
22/05	Mulhouse France Nationale 1	71-96	L
16/05	Mulhouse France Nationale 1	73-87	L
08/05	Mulhouse France Nationale 1	105-100	W
05/05	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	79-69	W
01/05	Berck/Rang du Fliers France Nationale 1	83-97	L
26/04	Orchies France Nationale 1	90-86	W
21/04	Loon Plage France Nationale 1	105-102	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toulouse vs Union Tours Basket Metropole?

Our model gives 59% to Toulouse.

How many points are expected in Toulouse vs Union Tours Basket Metropole?

The model estimates 172.7 total points (Toulouse 87.9 · Union Tours Basket Metropole 84.8).