Basketball · Spain Segunda FEB · 17/10, 19:30

Prediction: CB Sant Antoni vs EB Lliria

Team pages: CB Sant Antoni · EB Lliria

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158Total

CB Sant Antoni84.7

EB Lliria73.4

1X2

79% 21%

CB Sant Antoni EB Lliria

Recent form · 10 last

CB Sant Antoni 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWW

EB Lliria 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CB Sant Antoni 1–3 EB Lliria (4 last)

EB Lliria98-62CB Sant Antoni
CB Sant Antoni90-93EB Lliria
EB Lliria51-72CB Sant Antoni
CB Sant Antoni69-71EB Lliria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CB Sant Antoni 1617 · EB Lliria 1514

	CB Sant Antoni	EB Lliria
Our model	75%	25%
Market	79%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 158 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · +4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points158CB Sant Antoni 84.7 · EB Lliria 73.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CB Sant Antoni (rating 1617 vs 1514).
CB Sant Antoni is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours EB Lliria: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CB Sant Antoni	EB Lliria
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.6 / 67.8	78.7 / 81.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.8 / 69.2	73.4 / 79.8
Est. result	85	73

Est. total158

Line O/U153.5

Diff.4.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.17

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.83

2 (+10.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 153.51.83

Under 153.51.83

Diff.: 3.35 · Est. total: 156.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.76 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 15%

Time*	1	2
21:24 +35’	1.17	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
21:36 +23’	1.06	4.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CB Sant Antoni 1–0–3 EB Lliria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Spain Segunda FEB	EB Lliria	98-62	CB Sant Antoni
08/11/25 Spain Segunda FEB	CB Sant Antoni	90-93	EB Lliria
15/02/25 Spain Segunda FEB	EB Lliria	51-72	CB Sant Antoni
04/12/24 Spain Segunda FEB	CB Sant Antoni	69-71	EB Lliria

Standings · Spain Segunda FEB · Segunda FEB 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cb Zaragoza	2	2	0	168	136	4
2	Prat	2	2	0	159	135	4
3	Cartagena	2	2	0	170	158	4
4	UPB Gandia	2	2	0	176	165	4
5	EB Lliria	2	1	1	145	155	3
6	Huesca	2	1	1	172	171	3
7	Logrono	2	1	1	153	144	3
8	CB Sant Antoni	1	1	0	88	64	2
9	Bisbal	2	0	2	135	181	2
10	CB Benicarlo	1	1	0	73	61	2
11	Iraurgi	2	0	2	163	175	2
12	Castello	2	0	2	153	169	2
13	Molina Basket	2	0	2	139	159	2
14	Clavijo	2	0	2	150	171	2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CB Sant Antoni

WWWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Bisbal Spain Segunda FEB	88-64	W
30/05	Caja 87s Spain Segunda FEB	71-56	W
23/05	Caja 87s Spain Segunda FEB	72-91	L
16/05	Moron Spain Segunda FEB	75-68	W
09/05	Moron Spain Segunda FEB	98-67	W
02/05	Caceres Spain Segunda FEB	93-61	W
25/04	Caceres Spain Segunda FEB	84-72	W
18/04	Bisbal Spain Segunda FEB	85-74	W
12/04	CB Salou Spain Segunda FEB	96-59	W
04/04	Cb Zaragoza Spain Segunda FEB	94-66	W

EB Lliria

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	CB Benicarlo Spain Segunda FEB	61-73	L
03/10	Huesca Spain Segunda FEB	84-82	W
17/05	Castello Spain Segunda FEB	74-75	L
09/05	Castello Spain Segunda FEB	72-82	L
02/05	Valladolid Spain Segunda FEB	76-87	L
25/04	Valladolid Spain Segunda FEB	102-75	W
18/04	Castello Spain Segunda FEB	80-87	L
11/04	CB Getafe Spain Segunda FEB	80-99	L
04/04	UPB Gandia Spain Segunda FEB	83-73	W
28/03	Molina Basket Spain Segunda FEB	75-83	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CB Sant Antoni vs EB Lliria?

Our model gives 79% to CB Sant Antoni.

How many points are expected in CB Sant Antoni vs EB Lliria?

The model estimates 158 total points (CB Sant Antoni 84.7 · EB Lliria 73.4).