Basketball · Spain Segunda FEB · 25/10, 13:00
Prediction: Moron vs CB Toledo
Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.6Total
Moron79
CB Toledo77.6
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Moron
CB Toledo
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Moron
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
CB Toledo
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Moron
2–0
CB Toledo
(2 last)
- CB Toledo74-75Moron
- Moron93-90CB Toledo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moron 1517 · CB Toledo 1542
| Moron | CB Toledo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
156.6 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · -2.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points156.6Moron 79 · CB Toledo 77.6
Match keys
- H2H favours Moron: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Moron | CB Toledo | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.6 / 79.1 | 76.8 / 73.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.6 / 82.8 | 78.6 / 76 |
| Est. result | 79 | 78 |
Est. total156.6
Line O/U159.5
Diff.2.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moron 2–0–0 CB Toledo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Spain Segunda FEB | CB Toledo | 74-75 | Moron |
| 06/12/25 Spain Segunda FEB | Moron | 93-90 | CB Toledo |
Standings · Spain Segunda FEB · Segunda FEB 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 3 | 3 | 0 | 248 | 220 | 6 |
| 2 | Caceres | 3 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 221 | 5 |
| 3 | Jaen CB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 241 | 5 |
| 4 | CB Toledo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 239 | 5 |
| 5 | Valladolid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 256 | 204 | 5 |
| 6 | Ponferrada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 228 | 5 |
| 7 | CD Leonesa Basket | 3 | 2 | 1 | 259 | 246 | 5 |
| 8 | Tres Cantos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 234 | 5 |
| 9 | Algeciras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 237 | 255 | 4 |
| 10 | Estudiantes 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 217 | 230 | 4 |
| 11 | Moron | 3 | 1 | 2 | 233 | 241 | 4 |
| 12 | Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 217 | 278 | 4 |
| 13 | Spanish Basketball Academy | 3 | 0 | 3 | 233 | 253 | 3 |
| 14 | CB Getafe | 3 | 0 | 3 | 205 | 249 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moron
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Estudiantes 2 Spain Segunda FEB |
67-68 | L |
| 10/10 | Tres Cantos Spain Segunda FEB |
93-90 | W |
| 04/10 | CD Leonesa Basket Spain Segunda FEB |
73-83 | L |
| 16/05 | CB Sant Antoni Spain Segunda FEB |
68-75 | L |
| 09/05 | CB Sant Antoni Spain Segunda FEB |
67-98 | L |
| 02/05 | UPB Gandia Spain Segunda FEB |
56-63 | L |
| 26/04 | UPB Gandia Spain Segunda FEB |
87-72 | W |
| 18/04 | Caja 87s Spain Segunda FEB |
75-84 | L |
| 11/04 | Ponferrada Spain Segunda FEB |
87-75 | W |
| 05/04 | CD Leonesa Basket Spain Segunda FEB |
93-83 | W |
CB Toledo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Algeciras Spain Segunda FEB |
100-79 | W |
| 10/10 | Estudiantes 2 Spain Segunda FEB |
86-78 | W |
| 04/10 | Caceres Spain Segunda FEB |
66-82 | L |
| 18/04 | Caceres Spain Segunda FEB |
75-77 | L |
| 12/04 | Cordoba Spain Segunda FEB |
66-64 | W |
| 05/04 | Clavijo Spain Segunda FEB |
75-70 | W |
| 28/03 | Circulo Gijon Spain Segunda FEB |
74-78 | L |
| 22/03 | Moron Spain Segunda FEB |
74-75 | L |
| 15/03 | Logrono Spain Segunda FEB |
67-65 | W |
| 08/03 | Iraurgi Spain Segunda FEB |
85-68 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moron vs CB Toledo?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Moron 54% · CB Toledo 46%).
How many points are expected in Moron vs CB Toledo?
The model estimates 156.6 total points (Moron 79 · CB Toledo 77.6).