Basketball · Spain Primera FEB · 04/10, 12:00

Prediction: Palma vs Estela

Team pages: Palma · Estela

Prediction summary

Estimated points

155.9Total

Palma77.6

Estela78.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Palma Estela

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Palma 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLWL

Estela 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Palma 0–2 Estela (2 last)

Palma68-73Estela
Estela77-65Palma

Model analysis

Estimated points155.9Palma 77.6 · Estela 78.3

Match keys

H2H favours Estela: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Palma	Estela
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.2 / 84.6	75.5 / 83.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.6 / 82.6	74.6 / 87.6
Est. result	78	78

Est. total155.9

Line O/U163

Diff.7.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1631.91

Under 1631.91

Diff.: 3.9 · Est. total: 159.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.83 → 2.08▲	Pinn 2.08
2	1.99 → 1.76▼	Pinn 1.76

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	2
12:18 +52’	1.83	1.99
14:30 +39’	1.89▲	1.93▼
15:22 +53’	2.08▲	1.76▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Palma 0–0–2 Estela

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Primera FEB	Palma	68-73	Estela
21/12/25 Spain Primera FEB	Estela	77-65	Palma

Standings · Spain Primera FEB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gran Canaria	1	1	0	108	69	2
2	Palencia	1	1	0	95	69	2
3	Ourense	1	1	0	91	71	2
4	Cordoba	1	1	0	72	57	2
5	Lucentum Alicante	1	1	0	96	82	2
6	Estudiantes	1	1	0	78	65	2
7	Gipuzkoa Basket	1	1	0	82	76	2
8	Palmer Basket Mallorca	1	1	0	95	94	2
9	Estela	1	1	0	69	68	2
10	Palma	1	0	1	94	95	1
11	Menorca	1	0	1	68	69	1
12	Granada	1	0	1	76	82	1
13	Caja 87s	1	0	1	65	78	1
14	Fuenlabrada	1	0	1	82	96	1
15	CB Zamora	1	0	1	57	72	1
16	Tizona Burgos	1	0	1	71	91	1
17	Albacete	1	0	1	69	95	1
18	Oviedo	1	0	1	69	108	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Palma	Estela
Coruna	76-94 L	79-88 L
Palencia	70-92 L	70-100 L
CB Zamora	79-81 L	89-86 W
Monbus Obradoiro	63-87 L	65-95 L
Estudiantes	66-90 L	80-78 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Estela (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palma

LLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Palmer Basket Mallorca Spain Primera FEB	94-95	L
08/05	Palmer Basket Mallorca Spain Primera FEB	85-59	W
03/05	Coruna Spain Primera FEB	76-94	L
25/04	Palencia Spain Primera FEB	70-92	L
22/04	Gipuzkoa Basket Spain Primera FEB	63-73	L
19/04	Cartagena Spain Primera FEB	77-80	L
11/04	CB Zamora Spain Primera FEB	79-81	L
29/03	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Primera FEB	63-87	L
22/03	Oviedo Spain Primera FEB	69-95	L
15/03	Estudiantes Spain Primera FEB	66-90	L

Estela

WLLWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Menorca Spain Primera FEB	69-68	W
08/05	Palencia Spain Primera FEB	70-100	L
02/05	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Primera FEB	65-95	L
26/04	CB Zamora Spain Primera FEB	89-86	W
22/04	Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB	80-89	L
17/04	Lucentum Alicante Spain Primera FEB	74-82	L
11/04	Ourense Spain Primera FEB	72-67	W
04/04	Coruna Spain Primera FEB	79-88	L
27/03	Tizona Burgos Spain Primera FEB	77-86	L
21/03	Estudiantes Spain Primera FEB	80-78	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palma vs Estela?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Palma 48% · Estela 52%).

How many points are expected in Palma vs Estela?

The model estimates 155.9 total points (Palma 77.6 · Estela 78.3).