Basketball · Spain Primera FEB · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: Ourense vs Estela

Team pages: Ourense · Estela

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.5Total

Ourense80.5

Estela78

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Ourense Estela

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Ourense 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Estela 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Ourense 2–4 Estela (6 last)

Ourense67-72Estela
Estela87-66Ourense
Estela86-77Ourense
Ourense93-65Estela
Ourense65-72Estela
Estela76-80Ourense

Model analysis

Estimated points158.5Ourense 80.5 · Estela 78

Match keys

H2H favours Estela: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ourense	Estela
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.8 / 82.4	76.3 / 83.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.8 / 77.6	76.2 / 85
Est. result	81	78

Est. total158.5

Line O/U163

Diff.4.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1631.90

Under 1631.92

Diff.: 3.4 · Est. total: 159.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.52 → 1.48▼	Pinn 1.48
2	2.53 → 2.66▲	Pinn 2.66

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	2
19:09 +12’	1.52	2.53
20:24 +53’	1.48▼	2.66▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ourense 2–0–4 Estela

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Spain Primera FEB	Ourense	67-72	Estela
25/10/25 Spain Primera FEB	Estela	87-66	Ourense
26/04/25 Spain Primera FEB	Estela	86-77	Ourense
12/10/24 Spain Primera FEB	Ourense	93-65	Estela
14/04/24 Spain Primera FEB	Ourense	65-72	Estela
14/10/23 Spain Primera FEB	Estela	76-80	Ourense

Standings · Spain Primera FEB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gran Canaria	2	2	0	187	137	4
2	Lucentum Alicante	2	2	0	177	146	4
3	Palencia	2	2	0	165	136	4
4	Ourense	2	2	0	181	157	4
5	Estudiantes	2	2	0	158	138	4
6	Estela	2	2	0	157	144	4
7	Cordoba	2	1	1	139	127	3
8	Granada	2	1	1	153	149	3
9	Gipuzkoa Basket	2	1	1	168	166	3
10	Caja 87s	2	1	1	146	150	3
11	Palmer Basket Mallorca	2	1	1	167	175	3
12	Albacete	2	1	1	173	187	3
13	Palma	2	0	2	170	183	2
14	Menorca	2	0	2	132	150	2
15	CB Zamora	2	0	2	130	152	2
16	Fuenlabrada	2	0	2	150	175	2
17	Tizona Burgos	2	0	2	163	195	2
18	Oviedo	2	0	2	136	185	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ourense	Estela
Tizona Burgos	91-71 W	77-86 L
Menorca	70-73 L	69-68 W
Palencia	90-93 L	70-100 L
Monbus Obradoiro	57-94 L	65-95 L
CB Zamora	84-105 L	89-86 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Estela (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ourense

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Gipuzkoa Basket Spain Primera FEB	90-86	W
26/09	Tizona Burgos Spain Primera FEB	91-71	W
08/05	Oviedo Spain Primera FEB	70-74	L
03/05	Melilla Spain Primera FEB	93-84	W
26/04	Menorca Spain Primera FEB	70-73	L
21/04	Palencia Spain Primera FEB	90-93	L
17/04	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Primera FEB	57-94	L
11/04	Estela Spain Primera FEB	67-72	L
05/04	Palmer Basket Mallorca Spain Primera FEB	56-72	L
28/03	CB Zamora Spain Primera FEB	84-105	L

Estela

LLWLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Palma Spain Primera FEB	88-76	W
26/09	Menorca Spain Primera FEB	69-68	W
08/05	Palencia Spain Primera FEB	70-100	L
02/05	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Primera FEB	65-95	L
26/04	CB Zamora Spain Primera FEB	89-86	W
22/04	Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB	80-89	L
17/04	Lucentum Alicante Spain Primera FEB	74-82	L
11/04	Ourense Spain Primera FEB	72-67	W
04/04	Coruna Spain Primera FEB	79-88	L
27/03	Tizona Burgos Spain Primera FEB	77-86	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ourense vs Estela?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ourense 57% · Estela 43%).

How many points are expected in Ourense vs Estela?

The model estimates 158.5 total points (Ourense 80.5 · Estela 78).