Basketball · Spain Primera FEB · 09/10, 21:00
Prediction: Palencia vs Menorca
Team pages: Menorca
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.9Total
Palencia83.4
Menorca69.5
1X2
Palencia
Menorca
Recent form · 10 last
Palencia
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Menorca
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Palencia
3–1
Menorca
(4 last)
- Menorca67-72Palencia
- Palencia89-64Menorca
- Palencia84-72Menorca
- Menorca84-78Palencia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Palencia 1589 · Menorca 1435
| Palencia | Menorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 20% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.9 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.9Palencia 83.4 · Menorca 69.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palencia (rating 1589 vs 1435).
- Palencia is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Palencia: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Palencia | Menorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83 / 71.8 | 75.3 / 80 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.8 / 71.4 | 73.8 / 80 |
| Est. result | 83 | 70 |
Est. total152.9
Line O/U153.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palencia 3–0–1 Menorca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Spain Primera FEB | Menorca | 67-72 | Palencia |
| 17/10/25 Spain Primera FEB | Palencia | 89-64 | Menorca |
| 04/04/25 Spain Primera FEB | Palencia | 84-72 | Menorca |
| 04/01/25 Spain Primera FEB | Menorca | 84-78 | Palencia |
Standings · Spain Primera FEB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gran Canaria | 2 | 2 | 0 | 187 | 137 | 4 |
| 2 | Lucentum Alicante | 2 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 146 | 4 |
| 3 | Palencia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 136 | 4 |
| 4 | Ourense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 157 | 4 |
| 5 | Estudiantes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 158 | 138 | 4 |
| 6 | Estela | 2 | 2 | 0 | 157 | 144 | 4 |
| 7 | Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 1 | 139 | 127 | 3 |
| 8 | Granada | 2 | 1 | 1 | 153 | 149 | 3 |
| 9 | Gipuzkoa Basket | 2 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 166 | 3 |
| 10 | Caja 87s | 2 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 150 | 3 |
| 11 | Palmer Basket Mallorca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 175 | 3 |
| 12 | Albacete | 2 | 1 | 1 | 173 | 187 | 3 |
| 13 | Palma | 2 | 0 | 2 | 170 | 183 | 2 |
| 14 | Menorca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 132 | 150 | 2 |
| 15 | CB Zamora | 2 | 0 | 2 | 130 | 152 | 2 |
| 16 | Fuenlabrada | 2 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 175 | 2 |
| 17 | Tizona Burgos | 2 | 0 | 2 | 163 | 195 | 2 |
| 18 | Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 136 | 185 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Palencia | Menorca |
|---|---|---|
| Coruna | 81-92 L | 76-87 L |
| Estela | 100-70 W | 68-69 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Palencia (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palencia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Cordoba Spain Primera FEB |
70-67 | W |
| 26/09 | Albacete Spain Primera FEB |
95-69 | W |
| 06/06 | Coruna Spain Primera FEB |
81-92 | L |
| 29/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
76-51 | W |
| 24/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
72-78 | L |
| 22/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
81-88 | L |
| 17/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
83-79 | W |
| 15/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
90-52 | W |
| 08/05 | Estela Spain Primera FEB |
100-70 | W |
| 02/05 | Cartagena Spain Primera FEB |
82-72 | W |
Menorca
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Lucentum Alicante Spain Primera FEB |
64-81 | L |
| 26/09 | Estela Spain Primera FEB |
68-69 | L |
| 24/05 | Coruna Spain Primera FEB |
76-87 | L |
| 22/05 | Coruna Spain Primera FEB |
85-82 | W |
| 17/05 | Coruna Spain Primera FEB |
76-81 | L |
| 14/05 | Coruna Spain Primera FEB |
71-93 | L |
| 08/05 | Melilla Spain Primera FEB |
102-72 | W |
| 03/05 | Gipuzkoa Basket Spain Primera FEB |
66-84 | L |
| 26/04 | Ourense Spain Primera FEB |
73-70 | W |
| 22/04 | Coruna Spain Primera FEB |
72-81 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palencia vs Menorca?
Our model gives 84% to Palencia.
How many points are expected in Palencia vs Menorca?
The model estimates 152.9 total points (Palencia 83.4 · Menorca 69.5).