Basketball · Spain Primera FEB · 03/10, 19:30

Prediction: Menorca vs Lucentum Alicante

Team pages: Menorca · Lucentum Alicante

Prediction summary

Estimated points

153.5Total

Menorca77.8

Lucentum Alicante75.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Menorca Lucentum Alicante

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Menorca 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Lucentum Alicante 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Menorca 3–3 Lucentum Alicante (6 last)

Lucentum Alicante58-76Menorca
Menorca81-68Lucentum Alicante
Lucentum Alicante96-68Menorca
Menorca73-71Lucentum Alicante
Lucentum Alicante67-61Menorca
Menorca57-76Lucentum Alicante

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Menorca 1482 · Lucentum Alicante 1439

	Menorca	Lucentum Alicante
Our model	68%	32%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 153.5 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · -2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points153.5Menorca 77.8 · Lucentum Alicante 75.7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Menorca	Lucentum Alicante
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.6 / 79.1	77.8 / 85.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.2 / 82.4	77.6 / 89
Est. result	78	76

Est. total153.5

Line O/U155.5

Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 3.55 · Est. total: 159.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.35 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	2
22:15 +5’	1.74	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
21:09 +14’	1.60	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Menorca 3–0–3 Lucentum Alicante

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Spain Primera FEB	Lucentum Alicante	58-76	Menorca
04/01/26 Spain Primera FEB	Menorca	81-68	Lucentum Alicante
22/03/25 Spain Primera FEB	Lucentum Alicante	96-68	Menorca
29/12/24 Spain Primera FEB	Menorca	73-71	Lucentum Alicante
08/03/24 Spain Primera FEB	Lucentum Alicante	67-61	Menorca
03/12/23 Spain Primera FEB	Menorca	57-76	Lucentum Alicante

Standings · Spain Primera FEB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gran Canaria	1	1	0	108	69	2
2	Palencia	1	1	0	95	69	2
3	Ourense	1	1	0	91	71	2
4	Cordoba	1	1	0	72	57	2
5	Lucentum Alicante	1	1	0	96	82	2
6	Estudiantes	1	1	0	78	65	2
7	Gipuzkoa Basket	1	1	0	82	76	2
8	Palmer Basket Mallorca	1	1	0	95	94	2
9	Estela	1	1	0	69	68	2
10	Palma	1	0	1	94	95	1
11	Menorca	1	0	1	68	69	1
12	Granada	1	0	1	76	82	1
13	Caja 87s	1	0	1	65	78	1
14	Fuenlabrada	1	0	1	82	96	1
15	CB Zamora	1	0	1	57	72	1
16	Tizona Burgos	1	0	1	71	91	1
17	Albacete	1	0	1	69	95	1
18	Oviedo	1	0	1	69	108	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Menorca	Lucentum Alicante
Estela	68-69 L	82-74 W
Gipuzkoa Basket	66-84 L	74-87 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lucentum Alicante (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Menorca

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Estela Spain Primera FEB	68-69	L
24/05	Coruna Spain Primera FEB	76-87	L
22/05	Coruna Spain Primera FEB	85-82	W
17/05	Coruna Spain Primera FEB	76-81	L
14/05	Coruna Spain Primera FEB	71-93	L
08/05	Melilla Spain Primera FEB	102-72	W
03/05	Gipuzkoa Basket Spain Primera FEB	66-84	L
26/04	Ourense Spain Primera FEB	73-70	W
22/04	Coruna Spain Primera FEB	72-81	L
18/04	Palencia Spain Primera FEB	67-72	L

Lucentum Alicante

LLWLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB	96-82	W
22/05	Estudiantes Spain Primera FEB	72-113	L
17/05	Estudiantes Spain Primera FEB	67-74	L
15/05	Estudiantes Spain Primera FEB	77-93	L
08/05	CB Zamora Spain Primera FEB	76-83	L
02/05	Tizona Burgos Spain Primera FEB	92-97	L
26/04	Palmer Basket Mallorca Spain Primera FEB	68-77	L
17/04	Estela Spain Primera FEB	82-74	W
11/04	Gipuzkoa Basket Spain Primera FEB	74-87	L
05/04	Oviedo Spain Primera FEB	74-76	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Menorca vs Lucentum Alicante?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Menorca 56% · Lucentum Alicante 44%).

How many points are expected in Menorca vs Lucentum Alicante?

The model estimates 153.5 total points (Menorca 77.8 · Lucentum Alicante 75.7).