Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 26/09, 14:30

Prediction: Petkim Spor vs Merkezefendi Denizli

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164.1Total

Petkim Spor84.2

Merkezefendi Denizli79.9

1X2

62% 38%

Petkim Spor Merkezefendi Denizli

Recent form · 10 last

Petkim Spor 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWLLL

Merkezefendi Denizli 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Petkim Spor 2–4 Merkezefendi Denizli (6 last)

Merkezefendi Denizli88-84Petkim Spor
Merkezefendi Denizli92-80Petkim Spor
Petkim Spor73-81Merkezefendi Denizli
Petkim Spor81-67Merkezefendi Denizli
Petkim Spor82-78Merkezefendi Denizli
Merkezefendi Denizli95-85Petkim Spor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petkim Spor 1468 · Merkezefendi Denizli 1495

	Petkim Spor	Merkezefendi Denizli
Our model	59%	41%
Market	63%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 164.1 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points164.1Petkim Spor 84.2 · Merkezefendi Denizli 79.9

Match keys

H2H favours Merkezefendi Denizli: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Petkim Spor	Merkezefendi Denizli
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.9 / 85.7	82.3 / 85.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.2 / 84	86 / 86.2
Est. result	84	80

Est. total164.1

Line O/U164.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.48

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 1.9 · Est. total: 166.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	2
18:35 +19’	1.48	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Petkim Spor 2–0–4 Merkezefendi Denizli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/09/26 Club Friendlies	Merkezefendi Denizli	88-84	Petkim Spor
28/03/26 Turkiye BSL	Merkezefendi Denizli	92-80	Petkim Spor
23/11/25 Turkiye BSL	Petkim Spor	73-81	Merkezefendi Denizli
13/09/25 Club Friendlies	Petkim Spor	81-67	Merkezefendi Denizli
06/04/25 Turkiye BSL	Petkim Spor	82-78	Merkezefendi Denizli
07/12/24 Turkiye BSL	Merkezefendi Denizli	95-85	Petkim Spor

Standings · Turkiye BSL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Anadolu Efes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bahcesehir Koleji	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Besiktas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bordo Basketbol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bursaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cayirova	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Esenler Erokspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pinar Karsiyaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Korfez Basket	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Merkezefendi Denizli	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Petkim Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tofas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Turk Telekom	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Petkim Spor	Merkezefendi Denizli
Tofas	71-73 L	93-88 W
Besiktas	69-81 L	74-99 L
Bahcesehir Koleji	76-95 L	65-79 L
Esenler Erokspor	57-74 L	69-70 L
Buyukcekmece	95-104 L	98-87 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Merkezefendi Denizli (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Petkim Spor

LLWLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/05	Tofas Turkiye BSL	71-73	L
05/05	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	69-81	L
01/05	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	76-95	L
19/04	Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL	100-87	W
12/04	Trabzonspor Turkiye BSL	90-84	W
05/04	Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL	60-85	L
28/03	Merkezefendi Denizli Turkiye BSL	80-92	L
23/03	Bursaspor Turkiye BSL	91-82	W
14/03	Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL	57-74	L
07/03	Buyukcekmece Turkiye BSL	95-104	L

Merkezefendi Denizli

LLWWLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/05	Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL	69-70	L
03/05	Buyukcekmece Turkiye BSL	98-87	W
27/04	Mersin BBGSK Turkiye BSL	101-93	W
23/04	Galatasaray Turkiye BSL	80-90	L
18/04	Turk Telekom Turkiye BSL	82-91	L
04/04	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	69-82	L
28/03	Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL	92-80	W
21/03	Tofas Turkiye BSL	93-88	W
13/03	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	65-79	L
06/03	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	74-99	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petkim Spor vs Merkezefendi Denizli?

Our model gives 62% to Petkim Spor.

How many points are expected in Petkim Spor vs Merkezefendi Denizli?

The model estimates 164.1 total points (Petkim Spor 84.2 · Merkezefendi Denizli 79.9).