Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 17/10, 20:45
Prediction: Libertas Livorno vs Urania Milano
Team pages: Libertas Livorno · Urania Milano
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157Total
Libertas Livorno83.6
Urania Milano73.3
1X2
Libertas Livorno
Urania Milano
Recent form · 10 last
Libertas Livorno
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Urania Milano
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Libertas Livorno
4–2
Urania Milano
(6 last)
- Urania Milano76-71Libertas Livorno
- Libertas Livorno102-84Urania Milano
- Urania Milano73-66Libertas Livorno
- Libertas Livorno98-60Urania Milano
- Urania Milano84-94Libertas Livorno
- Libertas Livorno86-68Urania Milano
Model analysis
Estimated points157Libertas Livorno 83.6 · Urania Milano 73.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Libertas Livorno (rating 1547 vs 1425).
- Libertas Livorno is a clear favourite (77% market).
- H2H favours Libertas Livorno: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Libertas Livorno | Urania Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.3 / 75.9 | 79.8 / 83.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.6 / 72.6 | 79 / 89.4 |
| Est. result | 84 | 73 |
Est. total157
Line O/U154
Diff.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Libertas Livorno 4–0–2 Urania Milano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Club Friendlies | Urania Milano | 76-71 | Libertas Livorno |
| 29/04/26 Italy Serie A2 | Libertas Livorno | 102-84 | Urania Milano |
| 22/02/26 Italy Serie A2 | Urania Milano | 73-66 | Libertas Livorno |
| 29/10/25 Italy Serie A2 | Libertas Livorno | 98-60 | Urania Milano |
| 19/04/25 Italy Serie A2 | Urania Milano | 84-94 | Libertas Livorno |
| 29/12/24 Italy Serie A2 | Libertas Livorno | 86-68 | Urania Milano |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 3 | 3 | 0 | 226 | 184 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortitudo Bologna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 253 | 217 | 6 |
| 3 | Del Fes Avellino | 3 | 3 | 0 | 254 | 222 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 3 | 3 | 0 | 237 | 207 | 6 |
| 5 | Brindisi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 246 | 218 | 6 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 266 | 242 | 6 |
| 7 | Forli | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 235 | 4 |
| 8 | Dinamo Sassari | 3 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 223 | 4 |
| 9 | Torino | 3 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 215 | 4 |
| 10 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 3 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 210 | 2 |
| 11 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 3 | 1 | 2 | 213 | 244 | 2 |
| 12 | Tramec Cento | 3 | 1 | 2 | 252 | 264 | 2 |
| 13 | Ruvo di Puglia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 249 | 266 | 2 |
| 14 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 3 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 252 | 2 |
| 15 | Juvi Cremona | 3 | 0 | 3 | 216 | 228 | 0 |
| 16 | Urania Milano | 3 | 0 | 3 | 237 | 250 | 0 |
| 17 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 231 | 247 | 0 |
| 18 | Pistoia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 209 | 225 | 0 |
| 19 | Mestre | 3 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 232 | 0 |
| 20 | Vigevano 1955 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 221 | 263 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Libertas Livorno | Urania Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Rinascita Basket Rimini | 90-95 L | 75-89 L |
| Real Sebastiani Rieti | 80-72 W | 88-83 W |
| Brindisi | 75-76 L | 81-84 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Libertas Livorno (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Libertas Livorno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
75-73 | W |
| 03/10 | Mestre Italy Serie A2 |
88-49 | W |
| 27/09 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
63-62 | W |
| 03/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
90-95 | L |
| 29/04 | Urania Milano Italy Serie A2 |
102-84 | W |
| 26/04 | Pesaro Italy Serie A2 |
84-75 | W |
| 18/04 | Mestre Italy Serie A2 |
90-82 | W |
| 12/04 | Forli Italy Serie A2 |
86-91 | L |
| 08/04 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
80-72 | W |
| 04/04 | Brindisi Italy Serie A2 |
75-76 | L |
Urania Milano
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
88-96 | L |
| 04/10 | Brindisi Italy Serie A2 |
81-84 | L |
| 27/09 | Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2 |
68-70 | L |
| 29/04 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
84-102 | L |
| 26/04 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
74-95 | L |
| 18/04 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
88-83 | W |
| 12/04 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
75-89 | L |
| 04/04 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
67-65 | W |
| 28/03 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
63-65 | L |
| 25/03 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
110-86 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Libertas Livorno vs Urania Milano?
Our model gives 77% to Libertas Livorno.
How many points are expected in Libertas Livorno vs Urania Milano?
The model estimates 157 total points (Libertas Livorno 83.6 · Urania Milano 73.3).