Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 24/10, 20:00
Prediction: UEB Gesteco Cividale vs Urania Milano
Team pages: UEB Gesteco Cividale · Urania Milano
Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.1Total
UEB Gesteco Cividale80.9
Urania Milano75.2
1X2
UEB Gesteco Cividale
Urania Milano
Recent form · 10 last
UEB Gesteco Cividale
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Urania Milano
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UEB Gesteco Cividale
2–4
Urania Milano
(6 last)
- Urania Milano90-80UEB Gesteco Cividale
- UEB Gesteco Cividale78-65Urania Milano
- UEB Gesteco Cividale95-96Urania Milano
- Urania Milano81-79UEB Gesteco Cividale
- Urania Milano92-94UEB Gesteco Cividale
- Urania Milano89-85UEB Gesteco Cividale
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UEB Gesteco Cividale 1478 · Urania Milano 1444
| UEB Gesteco Cividale | Urania Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
156.1 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points156.1UEB Gesteco Cividale 80.9 · Urania Milano 75.2
Match keys
- UEB Gesteco Cividale is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours Urania Milano: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UEB Gesteco Cividale | Urania Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 73 / 79.8 | 78.7 / 84.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 68.8 / 79.4 | 79.8 / 81.8 |
| Est. result | 81 | 75 |
Est. total156.1
Line O/U155.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UEB Gesteco Cividale 2–0–4 Urania Milano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Italy Serie A2 | Urania Milano | 90-80 | UEB Gesteco Cividale |
| 10/12/25 Italy Serie A2 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 78-65 | Urania Milano |
| 12/04/25 Italy Serie A2 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 95-96 | Urania Milano |
| 14/12/24 Italy Serie A2 | Urania Milano | 81-79 | UEB Gesteco Cividale |
| 06/04/24 Italy Serie A2 | Urania Milano | 92-94 | UEB Gesteco Cividale |
| 23/04/23 Italy Serie A2 | Urania Milano | 89-85 | UEB Gesteco Cividale |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 5 | 5 | 0 | 398 | 315 | 10 |
| 2 | Del Fes Avellino | 5 | 5 | 0 | 416 | 358 | 10 |
| 3 | Pesaro | 5 | 5 | 0 | 428 | 386 | 10 |
| 4 | Fortitudo Bologna | 5 | 4 | 1 | 403 | 371 | 8 |
| 5 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 5 | 4 | 1 | 378 | 363 | 8 |
| 6 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 5 | 3 | 2 | 397 | 353 | 6 |
| 7 | Torino | 4 | 3 | 1 | 302 | 296 | 6 |
| 8 | Forli | 5 | 3 | 2 | 413 | 385 | 6 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 5 | 3 | 2 | 390 | 373 | 6 |
| 10 | Dinamo Sassari | 5 | 3 | 2 | 376 | 377 | 6 |
| 11 | Pistoia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 394 | 347 | 4 |
| 12 | Mestre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 371 | 394 | 2 |
| 13 | Tramec Cento | 5 | 1 | 4 | 374 | 440 | 2 |
| 14 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 5 | 1 | 4 | 343 | 397 | 2 |
| 15 | Ruvo di Puglia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 396 | 445 | 2 |
| 16 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 327 | 336 | 2 |
| 17 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 5 | 1 | 4 | 361 | 428 | 2 |
| 18 | Urania Milano | 5 | 1 | 4 | 399 | 409 | 2 |
| 19 | Vigevano 1955 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 370 | 426 | 2 |
| 20 | Juvi Cremona | 5 | 0 | 5 | 377 | 414 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UEB Gesteco Cividale | Urania Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Ruvo di Puglia | 86-83 W | 88-96 L |
| Rinascita Basket Rimini | 76-87 L | 75-89 L |
| Real Sebastiani Rieti | 90-78 W | 88-83 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: UEB Gesteco Cividale (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UEB Gesteco Cividale
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Pesaro Italy Serie A2 |
68-76 | L |
| 17/10 | Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2 |
62-77 | L |
| 11/10 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
59-76 | L |
| 04/10 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
86-83 | W |
| 26/09 | Forli Italy Serie A2 |
69-85 | L |
| 28/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
76-87 | L |
| 26/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
66-83 | L |
| 23/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
85-69 | W |
| 21/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
69-84 | L |
| 15/05 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
90-78 | W |
Urania Milano
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
90-72 | W |
| 17/10 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
72-87 | L |
| 10/10 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
88-96 | L |
| 04/10 | Brindisi Italy Serie A2 |
81-84 | L |
| 27/09 | Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2 |
68-70 | L |
| 29/04 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
84-102 | L |
| 26/04 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
74-95 | L |
| 18/04 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
88-83 | W |
| 12/04 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
75-89 | L |
| 04/04 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
67-65 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UEB Gesteco Cividale vs Urania Milano?
Our model gives 66% to UEB Gesteco Cividale.
How many points are expected in UEB Gesteco Cividale vs Urania Milano?
The model estimates 156.1 total points (UEB Gesteco Cividale 80.9 · Urania Milano 75.2).