Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 21/10, 20:30

Prediction: Tramec Cento vs Pistoia

Team pages: Tramec Cento · Pistoia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.8Total

Tramec Cento80.4

Pistoia81.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Tramec Cento Pistoia

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Tramec Cento 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLLWL

Pistoia 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Tramec Cento 3–3 Pistoia (6 last)

Tramec Cento99-86Pistoia
Pistoia91-80Tramec Cento
Pistoia58-68Tramec Cento
Tramec Cento70-68Pistoia
Pistoia64-57Tramec Cento
Tramec Cento65-66Pistoia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tramec Cento 1488 · Pistoia 1495

	Tramec Cento	Pistoia
Our model	62%	38%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 161.8 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +6.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.8Tramec Cento 80.4 · Pistoia 81.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tramec Cento	Pistoia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.4 / 79.6	80.6 / 82.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81 / 81.4	75.6 / 74.6
Est. result	80	81

Est. total161.8

Line O/U155.5

Diff.6.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 7.2 · Est. total: 162.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12
2	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 2.08 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	2
20:33 +16’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:47 +2’	1.83	2.00
21:39 +10’	1.76▼	2.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tramec Cento 3–0–3 Pistoia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Italy Serie A2	Tramec Cento	99-86	Pistoia
30/11/25 Italy Serie A2	Pistoia	91-80	Tramec Cento
22/03/23 Italy Serie A2	Pistoia	58-68	Tramec Cento
04/12/22 Italy Serie A2	Tramec Cento	70-68	Pistoia
18/05/22 Italy Serie A2	Pistoia	64-57	Tramec Cento
15/05/22 Italy Serie A2	Tramec Cento	65-66	Pistoia

Standings · Italy Serie A2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fortitudo Bologna	4	4	0	344	286	8
2	Libertas Livorno	4	4	0	313	256	8
3	Del Fes Avellino	4	4	0	331	284	8
4	Pesaro	4	4	0	352	318	8
5	Forli	4	3	1	339	306	6
6	Torino	4	3	1	302	296	6
7	Dinamo Sassari	4	3	1	309	293	6
8	Brindisi	4	3	1	327	303	6
9	Real Sebastiani Rieti	4	3	1	308	300	6
10	Rinascita Basket Rimini	4	2	2	313	286	4
11	UEB Gesteco Cividale	4	1	3	275	321	2
12	Pistoia	4	1	3	298	295	2
13	Juvecaserta 2021	4	1	3	327	336	2
14	Tramec Cento	4	1	3	322	344	2
15	Montecatiniterme Basketball	4	1	3	287	343	2
16	Ruvo di Puglia	4	1	3	325	352	2
17	Juvi Cremona	4	0	4	305	324	0
18	Urania Milano	4	0	4	309	337	0
19	Mestre	4	1	3	278	323	0
20	Vigevano 1955	4	0	4	291	352	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tramec Cento	Pistoia
Vigevano 1955	98-88 W	89-70 W
Torino	69-80 L	77-84 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pistoia (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tramec Cento

LLWWWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2	70-80	L
11/10	Vigevano 1955 Italy Serie A2	98-88	W
03/10	Forli Italy Serie A2	73-80	L
27/09	Pesaro Italy Serie A2	81-96	L
08/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	83-63	W
05/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	87-64	W
03/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	81-71	W
26/04	Pistoia Italy Serie A2	99-86	W
19/04	Torino Italy Serie A2	69-80	L
12/04	Scafati Italy Serie A2	83-88	L

Pistoia

LLWWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Vigevano 1955 Italy Serie A2	89-70	W
11/10	Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2	70-78	L
04/10	Torino Italy Serie A2	77-84	L
27/09	Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2	62-63	L
13/05	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	80-78	W
10/05	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	81-88	L
08/05	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	79-78	W
05/05	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	97-90	W
03/05	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	85-100	L
26/04	Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2	86-99	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tramec Cento vs Pistoia?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Tramec Cento 47% · Pistoia 53%).

How many points are expected in Tramec Cento vs Pistoia?

The model estimates 161.8 total points (Tramec Cento 80.4 · Pistoia 81.4).