Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 30/10, 21:00

Prediction: Tramec Cento vs UEB Gesteco Cividale

Team pages: Tramec Cento · UEB Gesteco Cividale

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.7Total

Tramec Cento77.4

UEB Gesteco Cividale77.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Tramec Cento UEB Gesteco Cividale

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Tramec Cento 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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UEB Gesteco Cividale 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tramec Cento 2–4 UEB Gesteco Cividale (6 last)

Tramec Cento82-85UEB Gesteco Cividale
UEB Gesteco Cividale74-68Tramec Cento
UEB Gesteco Cividale83-75Tramec Cento
Tramec Cento62-79UEB Gesteco Cividale
UEB Gesteco Cividale83-86Tramec Cento
Tramec Cento78-67UEB Gesteco Cividale

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tramec Cento 1486 · UEB Gesteco Cividale 1497

	Tramec Cento	UEB Gesteco Cividale
Our model	61%	39%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 154.7 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points154.7Tramec Cento 77.4 · UEB Gesteco Cividale 77.4

Match keys

H2H favours UEB Gesteco Cividale: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tramec Cento	UEB Gesteco Cividale
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.1 / 79.5	71.8 / 78
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74 / 83	70.6 / 74.4
Est. result	77	77

Est. total154.7

Line O/U154.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 154.51.83

Under 154.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 154.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.98
2	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.84 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	2
20:49 +10’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:47 +7’	1.97	1.85
19:44 +12’	1.98▲	1.84▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 154.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tramec Cento 2–0–4 UEB Gesteco Cividale

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 Italy Serie A2	Tramec Cento	82-85	UEB Gesteco Cividale
12/11/25 Italy Serie A2	UEB Gesteco Cividale	74-68	Tramec Cento
19/04/25 Italy Serie A2	UEB Gesteco Cividale	83-75	Tramec Cento
29/11/24 Italy Serie A2	Tramec Cento	62-79	UEB Gesteco Cividale
04/02/24 Italy Serie A2	UEB Gesteco Cividale	83-86	Tramec Cento
26/11/23 Italy Serie A2	Tramec Cento	78-67	UEB Gesteco Cividale

Standings · Italy Serie A2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	490	402	12
2	Del Fes Avellino	6	5	1	486	441	10
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	499	459	10
4	Fortitudo Bologna	6	4	2	488	464	8
5	Rinascita Basket Rimini	6	4	2	493	426	8
6	Torino	5	4	1	375	367	8
7	Real Sebastiani Rieti	6	4	2	451	459	8
8	Brindisi	6	4	2	473	443	8
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	469	419	6
10	Forli	6	3	3	500	477	6
11	Dinamo Sassari	6	3	3	439	456	6
12	Tramec Cento	6	2	4	451	511	4
13	UEB Gesteco Cividale	6	2	4	421	457	4
14	Juvecaserta 2021	5	2	3	404	406	4
15	Ruvo di Puglia	6	2	4	475	508	4
16	Vigevano 1955	6	2	4	463	511	4
17	Urania Milano	6	1	5	459	487	2
18	Mestre	6	2	4	441	471	2
19	Montecatiniterme Basketball	6	1	5	432	505	2
20	Juvi Cremona	6	0	6	449	489	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tramec Cento	UEB Gesteco Cividale
Forli	73-80 L	69-85 L
Pesaro	81-96 L	68-76 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tramec Cento

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy Serie A2	77-71	W
21/10	Pistoia Italy Serie A2	52-96	L
17/10	Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2	70-80	L
11/10	Vigevano 1955 Italy Serie A2	98-88	W
03/10	Forli Italy Serie A2	73-80	L
27/09	Pesaro Italy Serie A2	81-96	L
08/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	83-63	W
05/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	87-64	W
03/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	81-71	W
26/04	Pistoia Italy Serie A2	99-86	W

UEB Gesteco Cividale

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Urania Milano Italy Serie A2	78-60	W
21/10	Pesaro Italy Serie A2	68-76	L
17/10	Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2	62-77	L
11/10	Torino Italy Serie A2	59-76	L
04/10	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	86-83	W
26/09	Forli Italy Serie A2	69-85	L
28/05	Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2	76-87	L
26/05	Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2	66-83	L
23/05	Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2	85-69	W
21/05	Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2	69-84	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tramec Cento vs UEB Gesteco Cividale?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Tramec Cento 50% · UEB Gesteco Cividale 50%).

How many points are expected in Tramec Cento vs UEB Gesteco Cividale?

The model estimates 154.7 total points (Tramec Cento 77.4 · UEB Gesteco Cividale 77.4).