Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 21/10, 20:30

Prediction: Mestre vs Ruvo di Puglia

Team pages: Mestre · Ruvo di Puglia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165Total

Mestre83.4

Ruvo di Puglia81.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Mestre Ruvo di Puglia

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Mestre 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLLL

Ruvo di Puglia 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLLWL

Head-to-head

Mestre 1–3 Ruvo di Puglia (4 last)

Mestre74-78Ruvo di Puglia
Ruvo di Puglia71-79Mestre
Mestre58-66Ruvo di Puglia
Ruvo di Puglia85-60Mestre

Model analysis

Estimated points165Mestre 83.4 · Ruvo di Puglia 81.6

Match keys

H2H favours Ruvo di Puglia: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mestre	Ruvo di Puglia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76 / 83.3	81.6 / 85.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	72 / 81.2	83.8 / 84.4
Est. result	83	82

Est. total165

Line O/U162.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.89

Under 162.51.93

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 163.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
2	2.60 → 2.59▼	Pinn 2.59

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	2
20:36 +12’	1.50	2.60
21:28 +21’	1.50	2.59▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mestre 1–0–3 Ruvo di Puglia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Italy Serie A2	Mestre	74-78	Ruvo di Puglia
08/10/25 Italy Serie A2	Ruvo di Puglia	71-79	Mestre
24/02/24 Italy National Serie B	Mestre	58-66	Ruvo di Puglia
12/11/23 Italy National Serie B	Ruvo di Puglia	85-60	Mestre

Standings · Italy Serie A2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fortitudo Bologna	4	4	0	344	286	8
2	Libertas Livorno	4	4	0	313	256	8
3	Del Fes Avellino	4	4	0	331	284	8
4	Pesaro	4	4	0	352	318	8
5	Forli	4	3	1	339	306	6
6	Torino	4	3	1	302	296	6
7	Dinamo Sassari	4	3	1	309	293	6
8	Brindisi	4	3	1	327	303	6
9	Real Sebastiani Rieti	4	3	1	308	300	6
10	Rinascita Basket Rimini	4	2	2	313	286	4
11	UEB Gesteco Cividale	4	1	3	275	321	2
12	Pistoia	4	1	3	298	295	2
13	Juvecaserta 2021	4	1	3	327	336	2
14	Tramec Cento	4	1	3	322	344	2
15	Montecatiniterme Basketball	4	1	3	287	343	2
16	Ruvo di Puglia	4	1	3	325	352	2
17	Juvi Cremona	4	0	4	305	324	0
18	Urania Milano	4	0	4	309	337	0
19	Mestre	4	1	3	278	323	0
20	Vigevano 1955	4	0	4	291	352	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mestre

WLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2	76-91	L
10/10	Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2	74-87	L
03/10	Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2	49-88	L
27/09	Torino Italy Serie A2	79-57	W
26/04	Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2	82-83	L
18/04	Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2	82-90	L
12/04	Verona Italy Serie A2	68-87	L
08/04	Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2	83-85	L
05/04	Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2	81-95	L
28/03	Brindisi Italy Serie A2	86-70	W

Ruvo di Puglia

LWWLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Pesaro Italy Serie A2	76-86	L
10/10	Urania Milano Italy Serie A2	96-88	W
04/10	UEB Gesteco Cividale Italy Serie A2	83-86	L
27/09	Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2	70-92	L
27/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	94-70	W
24/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	76-105	L
22/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	84-100	L
19/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	87-83	W
17/05	Roseto Italy Serie A2	72-68	W
13/05	Pistoia Italy Serie A2	78-80	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mestre vs Ruvo di Puglia?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Mestre 55% · Ruvo di Puglia 45%).

How many points are expected in Mestre vs Ruvo di Puglia?

The model estimates 165 total points (Mestre 83.4 · Ruvo di Puglia 81.6).