Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 04/11, 20:45
Prediction: Libertas Livorno vs Tramec Cento
Team pages: Libertas Livorno · Tramec Cento
Prediction summary
Estimated points
155.6Total
Libertas Livorno85.7
Tramec Cento69.9
1X2
Libertas Livorno
Tramec Cento
Recent form · 10 last
Libertas Livorno
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Tramec Cento
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Libertas Livorno
0–4
Tramec Cento
(4 last)
- Tramec Cento81-74Libertas Livorno
- Libertas Livorno68-77Tramec Cento
- Libertas Livorno73-76Tramec Cento
- Tramec Cento83-72Libertas Livorno
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Libertas Livorno 1578 · Tramec Cento 1482
| Libertas Livorno | Tramec Cento | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
155.6 points · Bet365 line 155.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points155.6Libertas Livorno 85.7 · Tramec Cento 69.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Libertas Livorno (rating 1578 vs 1482).
- Libertas Livorno is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours Tramec Cento: 4-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Libertas Livorno | Tramec Cento | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.3 / 73.7 | 76.6 / 78.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.2 / 74.4 | 72.2 / 81.8 |
| Est. result | 86 | 70 |
Est. total155.6
Line O/U155.5
Diff.0.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Libertas Livorno 0–0–4 Tramec Cento
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 Italy Serie A2 | Tramec Cento | 81-74 | Libertas Livorno |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie A2 | Libertas Livorno | 68-77 | Tramec Cento |
| 23/03/25 Italy Serie A2 | Libertas Livorno | 73-76 | Tramec Cento |
| 29/09/24 Italy Serie A2 | Tramec Cento | 83-72 | Libertas Livorno |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 8 | 8 | 0 | 653 | 546 | 16 |
| 2 | Del Fes Avellino | 7 | 6 | 1 | 565 | 511 | 12 |
| 3 | Fortitudo Bologna | 7 | 5 | 2 | 554 | 528 | 10 |
| 4 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 7 | 5 | 2 | 578 | 497 | 10 |
| 5 | Torino | 6 | 5 | 1 | 445 | 415 | 10 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 7 | 5 | 2 | 569 | 538 | 10 |
| 7 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 7 | 5 | 2 | 524 | 524 | 10 |
| 8 | Forli | 7 | 4 | 3 | 586 | 548 | 8 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 7 | 4 | 3 | 536 | 513 | 8 |
| 10 | Dinamo Sassari | 7 | 4 | 3 | 534 | 531 | 8 |
| 11 | Pistoia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 533 | 485 | 6 |
| 12 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 7 | 3 | 4 | 495 | 521 | 6 |
| 13 | Mestre | 7 | 3 | 4 | 511 | 534 | 4 |
| 14 | Tramec Cento | 8 | 2 | 6 | 578 | 661 | 4 |
| 15 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 479 | 501 | 4 |
| 16 | Vigevano 1955 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 544 | 598 | 4 |
| 17 | Ruvo di Puglia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 546 | 594 | 4 |
| 18 | Urania Milano | 7 | 1 | 6 | 530 | 572 | 2 |
| 19 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 7 | 1 | 6 | 480 | 575 | 2 |
| 20 | Juvi Cremona | 7 | 0 | 7 | 514 | 562 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Libertas Livorno | Tramec Cento |
|---|---|---|
| Vigevano 1955 | 87-81 W | 98-88 W |
| Forli | 92-87 W | 73-80 L |
| Pistoia | 63-62 W | 52-96 L |
| Pesaro | 84-75 W | 81-96 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Libertas Livorno (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Libertas Livorno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Vigevano 1955 Italy Serie A2 |
87-81 | W |
| 25/10 | Forli Italy Serie A2 |
92-87 | W |
| 21/10 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
85-59 | W |
| 17/10 | Urania Milano Italy Serie A2 |
87-72 | W |
| 11/10 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
75-73 | W |
| 03/10 | Mestre Italy Serie A2 |
88-49 | W |
| 27/09 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
63-62 | W |
| 03/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
90-95 | L |
| 29/04 | Urania Milano Italy Serie A2 |
102-84 | W |
| 26/04 | Pesaro Italy Serie A2 |
84-75 | W |
Tramec Cento
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | UEB Gesteco Cividale Italy Serie A2 |
64-74 | L |
| 25/10 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy Serie A2 |
77-71 | W |
| 21/10 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
52-96 | L |
| 17/10 | Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2 |
70-80 | L |
| 11/10 | Vigevano 1955 Italy Serie A2 |
98-88 | W |
| 03/10 | Forli Italy Serie A2 |
73-80 | L |
| 27/09 | Pesaro Italy Serie A2 |
81-96 | L |
| 08/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
83-63 | W |
| 05/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
87-64 | W |
| 03/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
81-71 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Libertas Livorno vs Tramec Cento?
Our model gives 87% to Libertas Livorno.
How many points are expected in Libertas Livorno vs Tramec Cento?
The model estimates 155.6 total points (Libertas Livorno 85.7 · Tramec Cento 69.9).