Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 07/11, 20:30
Prediction: Pesaro vs Mestre
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.2Total
Pesaro84.1
Mestre75.1
1X2
Pesaro
Mestre
Recent form · 10 last
Pesaro
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Mestre
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pesaro
2–0
Mestre
(2 last)
- Mestre75-93Pesaro
- Pesaro90-84Mestre
Model analysis
Estimated points159.2Pesaro 84.1 · Mestre 75.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pesaro (rating 1531 vs 1443).
- Pesaro is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours Pesaro: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Pesaro | Mestre | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.8 / 81.6 | 74.3 / 79.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77.2 / 74.6 | 76.6 / 77.8 |
| Est. result | 84 | 75 |
Est. total159.2
Line O/U159
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pesaro 2–0–0 Mestre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Italy Serie A2 | Mestre | 75-93 | Pesaro |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie A2 | Pesaro | 90-84 | Mestre |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 8 | 8 | 0 | 653 | 546 | 16 |
| 2 | Del Fes Avellino | 7 | 6 | 1 | 565 | 511 | 12 |
| 3 | Fortitudo Bologna | 7 | 5 | 2 | 554 | 528 | 10 |
| 4 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 7 | 5 | 2 | 578 | 497 | 10 |
| 5 | Torino | 6 | 5 | 1 | 445 | 415 | 10 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 7 | 5 | 2 | 569 | 538 | 10 |
| 7 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 7 | 5 | 2 | 524 | 524 | 10 |
| 8 | Forli | 7 | 4 | 3 | 586 | 548 | 8 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 7 | 4 | 3 | 536 | 513 | 8 |
| 10 | Dinamo Sassari | 7 | 4 | 3 | 534 | 531 | 8 |
| 11 | Pistoia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 533 | 485 | 6 |
| 12 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 7 | 3 | 4 | 495 | 521 | 6 |
| 13 | Mestre | 7 | 3 | 4 | 511 | 534 | 4 |
| 14 | Tramec Cento | 8 | 2 | 6 | 578 | 661 | 4 |
| 15 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 479 | 501 | 4 |
| 16 | Vigevano 1955 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 544 | 598 | 4 |
| 17 | Ruvo di Puglia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 546 | 594 | 4 |
| 18 | Urania Milano | 7 | 1 | 6 | 530 | 572 | 2 |
| 19 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 7 | 1 | 6 | 480 | 575 | 2 |
| 20 | Juvi Cremona | 7 | 0 | 7 | 514 | 562 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pesaro | Mestre |
|---|---|---|
| Torino | 71-73 L | 79-57 W |
| Ruvo di Puglia | 86-76 W | 93-71 W |
| Juvecaserta 2021 | 83-77 W | 70-77 L |
| Juvi Cremona | 87-84 W | 82-83 L |
| Rinascita Basket Rimini | 78-91 L | 76-91 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Pesaro (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pesaro
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2 |
70-79 | L |
| 25/10 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
71-73 | L |
| 21/10 | UEB Gesteco Cividale Italy Serie A2 |
76-68 | W |
| 18/10 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
86-76 | W |
| 11/10 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy Serie A2 |
83-77 | W |
| 04/10 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
87-84 | W |
| 27/09 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
96-81 | W |
| 19/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
78-91 | L |
| 16/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
96-94 | W |
| 14/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
75-93 | L |
Mestre
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Brindisi Italy Serie A2 |
70-63 | W |
| 25/10 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy Serie A2 |
70-77 | L |
| 21/10 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
93-71 | W |
| 18/10 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
76-91 | L |
| 10/10 | Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2 |
74-87 | L |
| 03/10 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
49-88 | L |
| 27/09 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
79-57 | W |
| 26/04 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
82-83 | L |
| 18/04 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
82-90 | L |
| 12/04 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
68-87 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pesaro vs Mestre?
Our model gives 74% to Pesaro.
How many points are expected in Pesaro vs Mestre?
The model estimates 159.2 total points (Pesaro 84.1 · Mestre 75.1).