Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 21/10, 20:30
Prediction: Pesaro vs UEB Gesteco Cividale
Team pages: Pesaro · UEB Gesteco Cividale
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.3Total
Pesaro83.8
UEB Gesteco Cividale76.5
1X2
Pesaro
UEB Gesteco Cividale
Recent form · 10 last
Pesaro
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
UEB Gesteco Cividale
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pesaro
2–3
UEB Gesteco Cividale
(5 last)
- UEB Gesteco Cividale82-83Pesaro
- Pesaro68-79UEB Gesteco Cividale
- Pesaro66-79UEB Gesteco Cividale
- Pesaro91-77UEB Gesteco Cividale
- UEB Gesteco Cividale97-86Pesaro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pesaro 1523 · UEB Gesteco Cividale 1488
| Pesaro | UEB Gesteco Cividale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.3 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +1.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.3Pesaro 83.8 · UEB Gesteco Cividale 76.5
Match keys
- Pesaro is a clear favourite (70% market).
- H2H favours UEB Gesteco Cividale: 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Pesaro | UEB Gesteco Cividale | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.9 / 85.8 | 74.4 / 79.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86 / 81.8 | 70.4 / 81.6 |
| Est. result | 84 | 77 |
Est. total160.3
Line O/U158.5
Diff.1.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pesaro 2–0–3 UEB Gesteco Cividale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Italy Serie A2 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 82-83 | Pesaro |
| 23/11/25 Italy Serie A2 | Pesaro | 68-79 | UEB Gesteco Cividale |
| 21/08/25 Club Friendlies | Pesaro | 66-79 | UEB Gesteco Cividale |
| 08/02/25 Italy Serie A2 | Pesaro | 91-77 | UEB Gesteco Cividale |
| 05/01/25 Italy Serie A2 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 97-86 | Pesaro |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortitudo Bologna | 4 | 4 | 0 | 344 | 286 | 8 |
| 2 | Libertas Livorno | 4 | 4 | 0 | 313 | 256 | 8 |
| 3 | Del Fes Avellino | 4 | 4 | 0 | 331 | 284 | 8 |
| 4 | Pesaro | 4 | 4 | 0 | 352 | 318 | 8 |
| 5 | Forli | 4 | 3 | 1 | 339 | 306 | 6 |
| 6 | Torino | 4 | 3 | 1 | 302 | 296 | 6 |
| 7 | Dinamo Sassari | 4 | 3 | 1 | 309 | 293 | 6 |
| 8 | Brindisi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 327 | 303 | 6 |
| 9 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 4 | 3 | 1 | 308 | 300 | 6 |
| 10 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 4 | 2 | 2 | 313 | 286 | 4 |
| 11 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 4 | 1 | 3 | 275 | 321 | 2 |
| 12 | Pistoia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 298 | 295 | 2 |
| 13 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 327 | 336 | 2 |
| 14 | Tramec Cento | 4 | 1 | 3 | 322 | 344 | 2 |
| 15 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 4 | 1 | 3 | 287 | 343 | 2 |
| 16 | Ruvo di Puglia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 325 | 352 | 2 |
| 17 | Juvi Cremona | 4 | 0 | 4 | 305 | 324 | 0 |
| 18 | Urania Milano | 4 | 0 | 4 | 309 | 337 | 0 |
| 19 | Mestre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 278 | 323 | 0 |
| 20 | Vigevano 1955 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 291 | 352 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pesaro | UEB Gesteco Cividale |
|---|---|---|
| Ruvo di Puglia | 86-76 W | 86-83 W |
| Rinascita Basket Rimini | 78-91 L | 76-87 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pesaro
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
86-76 | W |
| 11/10 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy Serie A2 |
83-77 | W |
| 04/10 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
87-84 | W |
| 27/09 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
96-81 | W |
| 19/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
78-91 | L |
| 16/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
96-94 | W |
| 14/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
75-93 | L |
| 11/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
94-79 | W |
| 09/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
89-99 | L |
| 26/04 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
75-84 | L |
UEB Gesteco Cividale
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2 |
62-77 | L |
| 11/10 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
59-76 | L |
| 04/10 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
86-83 | W |
| 26/09 | Forli Italy Serie A2 |
69-85 | L |
| 28/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
76-87 | L |
| 26/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
66-83 | L |
| 23/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
85-69 | W |
| 21/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
69-84 | L |
| 15/05 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
90-78 | W |
| 13/05 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
82-73 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pesaro vs UEB Gesteco Cividale?
Our model gives 70% to Pesaro.
How many points are expected in Pesaro vs UEB Gesteco Cividale?
The model estimates 160.3 total points (Pesaro 83.8 · UEB Gesteco Cividale 76.5).