Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 14/11, 20:30

Prediction: Urania Milano vs Pistoia

Team pages: Urania Milano · Pistoia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

155.1Total

Urania Milano77.7

Pistoia77.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Urania Milano Pistoia

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Urania Milano 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLLL

Pistoia 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Urania Milano 2–2 Pistoia (4 last)

Pistoia72-80Urania Milano
Urania Milano92-77Pistoia
Urania Milano69-73Pistoia
Pistoia90-81Urania Milano

Model analysis

Estimated points155.1Urania Milano 77.7 · Pistoia 77.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Urania Milano	Pistoia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.5 / 85	77.7 / 70.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74.4 / 82.2	79.8 / 66.2
Est. result	78	77

Est. total155.1

Line O/U155

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1551.93

Under 1551.89

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 154.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.23 → 2.21▼	Pinn 2.21
2	1.66 → 1.68▲	Pinn 1.68

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	2
09:45 +3’	2.23	1.66
12:46 +3’	2.21▼	1.68▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Urania Milano 2–0–2 Pistoia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Italy Serie A2	Pistoia	72-80	Urania Milano
12/11/25 Italy Serie A2	Urania Milano	92-77	Pistoia
19/02/22 Italy Serie A2	Urania Milano	69-73	Pistoia
14/11/21 Italy Serie A2	Pistoia	90-81	Urania Milano

Standings · Italy Serie A2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	9	8	1	731	627	16
2	Del Fes Avellino	9	8	1	740	672	16
3	Fortitudo Bologna	9	7	2	715	669	14
4	Real Sebastiani Rieti	9	7	2	672	649	14
5	Rinascita Basket Rimini	9	6	3	724	646	12
6	Brindisi	9	6	3	697	665	12
7	Torino	8	5	3	582	578	10
8	Forli	9	5	4	741	698	10
9	Dinamo Sassari	9	5	4	697	688	10
10	Pesaro	9	5	4	729	719	10
11	UEB Gesteco Cividale	9	5	4	646	667	10
12	Pistoia	9	5	4	697	626	10
13	Mestre	9	4	5	675	688	6
14	Vigevano 1955	9	3	6	687	735	6
15	Juvecaserta 2021	8	2	6	625	661	4
16	Juvi Cremona	9	2	7	678	701	4
17	Ruvo di Puglia	9	2	7	670	737	4
18	Tramec Cento	9	2	7	655	740	4
19	Urania Milano	9	1	8	681	748	2
20	Montecatiniterme Basketball	9	1	8	613	741	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Urania Milano	Pistoia
Fortitudo Bologna	66-83 L	64-66 L
Juvi Cremona	90-72 W	75-72 W
Libertas Livorno	72-87 L	62-63 L
Ruvo di Puglia	88-96 L	80-78 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pistoia (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Urania Milano

LLLLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2	85-93	L
07/11	Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2	66-83	L
30/10	Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2	71-85	L
24/10	UEB Gesteco Cividale Italy Serie A2	60-78	L
21/10	Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2	90-72	W
17/10	Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2	72-87	L
10/10	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	88-96	L
04/10	Brindisi Italy Serie A2	81-84	L
27/09	Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2	68-70	L
29/04	Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2	84-102	L

Pistoia

WLLLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Juvecaserta 2021 Italy Serie A2	78-70	W
08/11	Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy Serie A2	86-71	W
01/11	Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2	64-66	L
25/10	Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2	75-72	W
21/10	Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2	96-52	W
18/10	Vigevano 1955 Italy Serie A2	89-70	W
11/10	Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2	70-78	L
04/10	Torino Italy Serie A2	77-84	L
27/09	Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2	62-63	L
13/05	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	80-78	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Urania Milano vs Pistoia?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Urania Milano 51% · Pistoia 49%).

How many points are expected in Urania Milano vs Pistoia?

The model estimates 155.1 total points (Urania Milano 77.7 · Pistoia 77.4).