Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 15/11, 18:00

Prediction: Fortitudo Bologna vs Real Sebastiani Rieti

Team pages: Fortitudo Bologna · Real Sebastiani Rieti

Prediction summary

Estimated points

150.6Total

Fortitudo Bologna77.8

Real Sebastiani Rieti72.8

1X2

64% 36%

Fortitudo Bologna Real Sebastiani Rieti

Recent form · 10 last

Fortitudo Bologna 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWWW

Real Sebastiani Rieti 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fortitudo Bologna 4–2 Real Sebastiani Rieti (6 last)

Fortitudo Bologna79-65Real Sebastiani Rieti
Real Sebastiani Rieti68-62Fortitudo Bologna
Fortitudo Bologna81-75Real Sebastiani Rieti
Real Sebastiani Rieti61-60Fortitudo Bologna
Real Sebastiani Rieti58-60Fortitudo Bologna
Fortitudo Bologna75-59Real Sebastiani Rieti

Model analysis

Estimated points150.6Fortitudo Bologna 77.8 · Real Sebastiani Rieti 72.8

Match keys

H2H favours Fortitudo Bologna: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fortitudo Bologna	Real Sebastiani Rieti
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.8 / 75.5	75 / 73.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74.2 / 76.6	72.8 / 69.8
Est. result	78	73

Est. total150.6

Line O/U147

Diff.3.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1471.93

Under 1471.89

Diff.: 4.6 · Est. total: 151.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.33
2	3.28 → 3.28	Pinn 3.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	2
18:54 +4’	1.33	3.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortitudo Bologna 4–0–2 Real Sebastiani Rieti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Italy Serie A2	Fortitudo Bologna	79-65	Real Sebastiani Rieti
28/12/25 Italy Serie A2	Real Sebastiani Rieti	68-62	Fortitudo Bologna
02/03/25 Italy Serie A2	Fortitudo Bologna	81-75	Real Sebastiani Rieti
06/11/24 Italy Serie A2	Real Sebastiani Rieti	61-60	Fortitudo Bologna
24/05/24 Italy Serie A2	Real Sebastiani Rieti	58-60	Fortitudo Bologna
21/05/24 Italy Serie A2	Fortitudo Bologna	75-59	Real Sebastiani Rieti

Standings · Italy Serie A2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	9	8	1	731	627	16
2	Del Fes Avellino	9	8	1	740	672	16
3	Fortitudo Bologna	9	7	2	715	669	14
4	Real Sebastiani Rieti	9	7	2	672	649	14
5	Rinascita Basket Rimini	9	6	3	724	646	12
6	Brindisi	9	6	3	697	665	12
7	Torino	8	5	3	582	578	10
8	Forli	9	5	4	741	698	10
9	Dinamo Sassari	9	5	4	697	688	10
10	Pesaro	9	5	4	729	719	10
11	UEB Gesteco Cividale	9	5	4	646	667	10
12	Pistoia	9	5	4	697	626	10
13	Mestre	9	4	5	675	688	6
14	Vigevano 1955	9	3	6	687	735	6
15	Juvecaserta 2021	8	2	6	625	661	4
16	Juvi Cremona	9	2	7	678	701	4
17	Ruvo di Puglia	9	2	7	670	737	4
18	Tramec Cento	9	2	7	655	740	4
19	Urania Milano	9	1	8	681	748	2
20	Montecatiniterme Basketball	9	1	8	613	741	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fortitudo Bologna	Real Sebastiani Rieti
Pistoia	66-64 W	78-70 W
Vigevano 1955	85-93 L	78-64 W
Montecatiniterme Basketball	91-69 W	80-62 W
Rinascita Basket Rimini	78-66 W	73-96 L
Juvecaserta 2021	83-81 W	81-73 W
Ruvo di Puglia	92-70 W	68-63 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fortitudo Bologna

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Torino Italy Serie A2	78-75	W
07/11	Urania Milano Italy Serie A2	83-66	W
01/11	Pistoia Italy Serie A2	66-64	W
25/10	Vigevano 1955 Italy Serie A2	85-93	L
21/10	Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2	59-85	L
17/10	Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy Serie A2	91-69	W
11/10	Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2	78-66	W
04/10	Juvecaserta 2021 Italy Serie A2	83-81	W
27/09	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	92-70	W
25/05	Verona Italy Serie A2	73-86	L

Real Sebastiani Rieti

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy Serie A2	80-62	W
08/11	Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2	68-63	W
01/11	Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2	73-65	W
25/10	Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2	73-96	L
21/10	Brindisi Italy Serie A2	70-63	W
18/10	Forli Italy Serie A2	71-93	L
11/10	Pistoia Italy Serie A2	78-70	W
04/10	Vigevano 1955 Italy Serie A2	78-64	W
27/09	Juvecaserta 2021 Italy Serie A2	81-73	W
15/05	UEB Gesteco Cividale Italy Serie A2	78-90	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fortitudo Bologna vs Real Sebastiani Rieti?

Our model gives 64% to Fortitudo Bologna.

How many points are expected in Fortitudo Bologna vs Real Sebastiani Rieti?

The model estimates 150.6 total points (Fortitudo Bologna 77.8 · Real Sebastiani Rieti 72.8).