Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 01/11, 13:30
Prediction: Fenerbahce vs Tofas
Team pages: Fenerbahce · Tofas
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.6Total
Fenerbahce87.1
Tofas78.5
1X2
Fenerbahce
Tofas
Recent form · 10 last
Fenerbahce
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Tofas
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fenerbahce
5–1
Tofas
(6 last)
- Fenerbahce83-78Tofas
- Fenerbahce90-82Tofas
- Tofas80-78Fenerbahce
- Tofas88-89Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce90-88Tofas
- Fenerbahce109-77Tofas
Model analysis
Estimated points165.6Fenerbahce 87.1 · Tofas 78.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fenerbahce (rating 1602 vs 1521).
- Fenerbahce is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Fenerbahce: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Fenerbahce | Tofas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87.6 / 81.6 | 81.5 / 84.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88.4 / 84.2 | 79.8 / 84 |
| Est. result | 87 | 79 |
Est. total165.6
Line O/U170.5
Diff.4.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenerbahce 5–0–1 Tofas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 Club Friendlies | Fenerbahce | 83-78 | Tofas |
| 18/01/26 Turkiye BSL | Fenerbahce | 90-82 | Tofas |
| 27/09/25 Turkiye BSL | Tofas | 80-78 | Fenerbahce |
| 13/04/25 Turkiye BSL | Tofas | 88-89 | Fenerbahce |
| 14/12/24 Turkiye BSL | Fenerbahce | 90-88 | Tofas |
| 03/03/24 Turkiye BSL | Fenerbahce | 109-77 | Tofas |
Standings · Turkiye BSL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahcesehir Koleji | 5 | 5 | 0 | 464 | 417 | 10 |
| 2 | Turk Telekom | 5 | 4 | 1 | 402 | 359 | 9 |
| 3 | Anadolu Efes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 428 | 386 | 9 |
| 4 | Esenler Erokspor | 5 | 4 | 1 | 428 | 414 | 9 |
| 5 | Fenerbahce | 5 | 3 | 2 | 442 | 421 | 8 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 411 | 409 | 8 |
| 7 | Aliaga Petkim Gelisim | 5 | 3 | 2 | 418 | 417 | 8 |
| 8 | Galatasaray | 5 | 2 | 3 | 443 | 401 | 7 |
| 9 | Korfez Basket | 5 | 2 | 3 | 409 | 418 | 7 |
| 10 | Pinar Karsiyaka | 5 | 2 | 3 | 399 | 412 | 7 |
| 11 | Tofas | 5 | 2 | 3 | 399 | 420 | 7 |
| 12 | Besiktas | 5 | 2 | 3 | 413 | 444 | 7 |
| 13 | Merkezefendi Denizli | 5 | 1 | 4 | 404 | 429 | 6 |
| 14 | Bordo Basketbol | 5 | 1 | 4 | 395 | 426 | 6 |
| 15 | Bursaspor | 5 | 1 | 4 | 382 | 421 | 6 |
| 16 | Cayirova | 5 | 1 | 4 | 402 | 445 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fenerbahce | Tofas |
|---|---|---|
| Pinar Karsiyaka | 97-72 W | 87-78 W |
| Aliaga Petkim Gelisim | 77-82 L | 72-74 L |
| Korfez Basket | 85-84 W | 71-69 W |
| Bahcesehir Koleji | 83-98 L | 76-78 L |
| Besiktas | 77-75 W | 84-98 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tofas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fenerbahce
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL |
97-72 | W |
| 18/10 | Aliaga Petkim Gelisim Turkiye BSL |
77-82 | L |
| 10/10 | Cayirova Turkiye BSL |
100-85 | W |
| 04/10 | Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL |
85-84 | W |
| 27/09 | Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL |
83-98 | L |
| 19/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
77-75 | W |
| 17/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
82-71 | W |
| 15/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
93-68 | W |
| 13/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
80-88 | L |
| 07/06 | Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL |
102-93 | W |
Tofas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Aliaga Petkim Gelisim Turkiye BSL |
72-74 | L |
| 17/10 | Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL |
71-69 | W |
| 10/10 | Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL |
79-87 | L |
| 03/10 | Merkezefendi Denizli Turkiye BSL |
87-101 | L |
| 25/09 | Bordo Basketbol Turkiye BSL |
90-89 | W |
| 10/05 | Aliaga Petkim Gelisim Turkiye BSL |
73-71 | W |
| 03/05 | Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL |
87-78 | W |
| 25/04 | Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL |
76-78 | L |
| 17/04 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
84-98 | L |
| 12/04 | Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL |
96-100 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fenerbahce vs Tofas?
Our model gives 73% to Fenerbahce.
How many points are expected in Fenerbahce vs Tofas?
The model estimates 165.6 total points (Fenerbahce 87.1 · Tofas 78.5).