Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 08/11, 11:00
Prediction: Bahcesehir Koleji vs Merkezefendi Denizli
Team pages: Bahcesehir Koleji · Merkezefendi Denizli
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.8Total
Bahcesehir Koleji91.8
Merkezefendi Denizli76
1X2
Bahcesehir Koleji
Merkezefendi Denizli
Recent form · 10 last
Bahcesehir Koleji
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Merkezefendi Denizli
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bahcesehir Koleji
5–1
Merkezefendi Denizli
(6 last)
- Merkezefendi Denizli65-79Bahcesehir Koleji
- Bahcesehir Koleji85-67Merkezefendi Denizli
- Bahcesehir Koleji112-76Merkezefendi Denizli
- Merkezefendi Denizli72-78Bahcesehir Koleji
- Bahcesehir Koleji77-47Merkezefendi Denizli
- Merkezefendi Denizli86-75Bahcesehir Koleji
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bahcesehir Koleji 1631 · Merkezefendi Denizli 1437
| Bahcesehir Koleji | Merkezefendi Denizli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 84% | 16% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.8 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · -4.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.8Bahcesehir Koleji 91.8 · Merkezefendi Denizli 76
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bahcesehir Koleji (rating 1631 vs 1437).
- Bahcesehir Koleji is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours Bahcesehir Koleji: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bahcesehir Koleji | Merkezefendi Denizli | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.3 / 84.7 | 82.6 / 85.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90.8 / 87.4 | 79.4 / 86.2 |
| Est. result | 92 | 76 |
Est. total167.8
Line O/U172.5
Diff.4.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bahcesehir Koleji 5–0–1 Merkezefendi Denizli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Turkiye BSL | Merkezefendi Denizli | 65-79 | Bahcesehir Koleji |
| 08/11/25 Turkiye BSL | Bahcesehir Koleji | 85-67 | Merkezefendi Denizli |
| 19/05/25 Turkiye BSL | Bahcesehir Koleji | 112-76 | Merkezefendi Denizli |
| 19/01/25 Turkiye BSL | Merkezefendi Denizli | 72-78 | Bahcesehir Koleji |
| 05/09/24 Club Friendlies | Bahcesehir Koleji | 77-47 | Merkezefendi Denizli |
| 05/05/24 Turkiye BSL | Merkezefendi Denizli | 86-75 | Bahcesehir Koleji |
Standings · Turkiye BSL
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Turk Telekom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 491 | 430 | 11 |
| 2 | Anadolu Efes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 515 | 463 | 11 |
| 3 | Bahcesehir Koleji | 6 | 5 | 1 | 552 | 520 | 11 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 6 | 4 | 2 | 530 | 498 | 10 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 4 | 2 | 500 | 492 | 10 |
| 6 | Esenler Erokspor | 6 | 4 | 2 | 499 | 503 | 10 |
| 7 | Galatasaray | 6 | 3 | 3 | 530 | 475 | 9 |
| 8 | Aliaga Petkim Gelisim | 6 | 3 | 3 | 495 | 504 | 9 |
| 9 | Pinar Karsiyaka | 6 | 3 | 3 | 485 | 495 | 9 |
| 10 | Besiktas | 6 | 3 | 3 | 506 | 520 | 9 |
| 11 | Korfez Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 492 | 507 | 8 |
| 12 | Bordo Basketbol | 6 | 2 | 4 | 498 | 514 | 8 |
| 13 | Tofas | 6 | 2 | 4 | 476 | 508 | 8 |
| 14 | Merkezefendi Denizli | 6 | 1 | 5 | 478 | 516 | 7 |
| 15 | Bursaspor | 6 | 1 | 5 | 465 | 507 | 7 |
| 16 | Cayirova | 6 | 1 | 5 | 478 | 538 | 7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bahcesehir Koleji
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bordo Basketbol Turkiye BSL |
88-103 | L |
| 24/10 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
100-96 | W |
| 17/10 | Bursaspor Turkiye BSL |
90-80 | W |
| 10/10 | Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL |
92-82 | W |
| 04/10 | Cayirova Turkiye BSL |
84-76 | W |
| 27/09 | Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL |
98-83 | W |
| 10/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
71-80 | L |
| 08/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
71-73 | L |
| 06/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
98-95 | W |
| 04/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
101-79 | W |
Merkezefendi Denizli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Galatasaray Turkiye BSL |
74-87 | L |
| 24/10 | Turk Telekom Turkiye BSL |
76-97 | L |
| 18/10 | Trabzonspor Turkiye BSL |
70-75 | L |
| 11/10 | Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL |
76-85 | L |
| 03/10 | Tofas Turkiye BSL |
101-87 | W |
| 26/09 | Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL |
81-85 | L |
| 10/05 | Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL |
69-70 | L |
| 03/05 | Buyukcekmece Turkiye BSL |
98-87 | W |
| 27/04 | Mersin BBGSK Turkiye BSL |
101-93 | W |
| 23/04 | Galatasaray Turkiye BSL |
80-90 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bahcesehir Koleji vs Merkezefendi Denizli?
Our model gives 87% to Bahcesehir Koleji.
How many points are expected in Bahcesehir Koleji vs Merkezefendi Denizli?
The model estimates 167.8 total points (Bahcesehir Koleji 91.8 · Merkezefendi Denizli 76).