Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 07/11, 18:30
Prediction: Bursaspor vs Fenerbahce
Team pages: Bursaspor · Fenerbahce
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.4Total
Bursaspor77.6
Fenerbahce85.8
1X2
Bursaspor
Fenerbahce
Recent form · 10 last
Bursaspor
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Fenerbahce
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bursaspor
1–5
Fenerbahce
(6 last)
- Bursaspor89-83Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce92-84Bursaspor
- Bursaspor97-98Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce95-78Bursaspor
- Fenerbahce107-66Bursaspor
- Bursaspor112-116Fenerbahce
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bursaspor 1459 · Fenerbahce 1601
| Bursaspor | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.4 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.4Bursaspor 77.6 · Fenerbahce 85.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fenerbahce (rating 1459 vs 1601).
- Fenerbahce is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Fenerbahce: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bursaspor | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.7 / 82.9 | 86.2 / 80 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77.8 / 85 | 89.4 / 80 |
| Est. result | 78 | 86 |
Est. total163.4
Line O/U164.5
Diff.1.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bursaspor 1–0–5 Fenerbahce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Turkiye BSL | Bursaspor | 89-83 | Fenerbahce |
| 23/11/25 Turkiye BSL | Fenerbahce | 92-84 | Bursaspor |
| 08/02/25 Turkiye BSL | Bursaspor | 97-98 | Fenerbahce |
| 20/10/24 Turkiye BSL | Fenerbahce | 95-78 | Bursaspor |
| 24/09/24 Club Friendlies | Fenerbahce | 107-66 | Bursaspor |
| 11/05/24 Turkiye BSL | Bursaspor | 112-116 | Fenerbahce |
Standings · Turkiye BSL
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Turk Telekom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 491 | 430 | 11 |
| 2 | Anadolu Efes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 515 | 463 | 11 |
| 3 | Bahcesehir Koleji | 6 | 5 | 1 | 552 | 520 | 11 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 6 | 4 | 2 | 530 | 498 | 10 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 4 | 2 | 500 | 492 | 10 |
| 6 | Esenler Erokspor | 6 | 4 | 2 | 499 | 503 | 10 |
| 7 | Galatasaray | 6 | 3 | 3 | 530 | 475 | 9 |
| 8 | Aliaga Petkim Gelisim | 6 | 3 | 3 | 495 | 504 | 9 |
| 9 | Pinar Karsiyaka | 6 | 3 | 3 | 485 | 495 | 9 |
| 10 | Besiktas | 6 | 3 | 3 | 506 | 520 | 9 |
| 11 | Korfez Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 492 | 507 | 8 |
| 12 | Bordo Basketbol | 6 | 2 | 4 | 498 | 514 | 8 |
| 13 | Tofas | 6 | 2 | 4 | 476 | 508 | 8 |
| 14 | Merkezefendi Denizli | 6 | 1 | 5 | 478 | 516 | 7 |
| 15 | Bursaspor | 6 | 1 | 5 | 465 | 507 | 7 |
| 16 | Cayirova | 6 | 1 | 5 | 478 | 538 | 7 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bursaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| Pinar Karsiyaka | 83-86 L | 97-72 W |
| Cayirova | 64-83 L | 100-85 W |
| Bahcesehir Koleji | 80-90 L | 83-98 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fenerbahce (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bursaspor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL |
83-86 | L |
| 23/10 | Cayirova Turkiye BSL |
64-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL |
80-90 | L |
| 12/10 | Galatasaray Turkiye BSL |
93-88 | W |
| 03/10 | Turk Telekom Turkiye BSL |
69-78 | L |
| 27/09 | Trabzonspor Turkiye BSL |
76-82 | L |
| 10/05 | Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL |
82-84 | L |
| 02/05 | Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL |
83-82 | W |
| 26/04 | Buyukcekmece Turkiye BSL |
91-72 | W |
| 18/04 | Mersin BBGSK Turkiye BSL |
86-84 | W |
Fenerbahce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Tofas Turkiye BSL |
88-77 | W |
| 25/10 | Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL |
97-72 | W |
| 18/10 | Aliaga Petkim Gelisim Turkiye BSL |
77-82 | L |
| 10/10 | Cayirova Turkiye BSL |
100-85 | W |
| 04/10 | Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL |
85-84 | W |
| 27/09 | Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL |
83-98 | L |
| 19/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
77-75 | W |
| 17/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
82-71 | W |
| 15/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
93-68 | W |
| 13/06 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
80-88 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bursaspor vs Fenerbahce?
Our model gives 72% to Fenerbahce.
How many points are expected in Bursaspor vs Fenerbahce?
The model estimates 163.4 total points (Bursaspor 77.6 · Fenerbahce 85.8).