Basketball · Rwanda National League · 07/08, 19:00

Prediction: Tigers vs APR BBC

Team pages: Tigers · APR BBC

Prediction summary
Estimated points
171.9Total
Tigers86.8
APR BBC85
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
55% 45%
Tigers APR BBC

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Tigers 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLWLW
APR BBC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWLWL
Head-to-head
Tigers 4–2 APR BBC (6 last)
  • APR BBC82-97Tigers
  • Tigers82-84APR BBC
  • APR BBC80-89Tigers
  • APR BBC68-78Tigers
  • APR BBC74-76Tigers
  • APR BBC95-76Tigers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tigers 1559 · APR BBC 1569
TigersAPR BBC
Our model61%39%
Market53%47%
Estimated total (ours) 171.9 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points171.9Tigers 86.8 · APR BBC 85

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tigers: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

TigersAPR BBC
Points F|A (Last 10)95.1 / 83.596.4 / 75.2
Points F|A (Last 5)93 / 86.887.6 / 72.8
Est. result8785
Est. total171.9
Line O/U173.5
Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigers 402 APR BBC

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/08/26
Rwanda National League
APR BBC82-97Tigers
24/07/26
Rwanda National League
Tigers82-84APR BBC
01/03/26
Rwanda National League
APR BBC80-89Tigers
06/02/26
Rwanda Super Cup
APR BBC68-78Tigers
01/10/25
Rwanda Cup
APR BBC74-76Tigers
21/03/25
Rwanda National League
APR BBC95-76Tigers

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTigersAPR BBC
United Generations 93-78 W 103-84 W
Rwanda Energy Group 86-102 L 84-78 W
EAU Rwanda 107-88 W 117-93 W
Kepler BBC 73-77 L 113-84 W
Azomco 120-55 W 114-61 W
Patriots BC 85-100 L 67-69 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 3 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: APR BBC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tigers

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/08 APR BBC
Rwanda National League
97-82 W
24/07 APR BBC
Rwanda National League
82-84 L
19/07 United Generations
Rwanda National League
93-78 W
17/07 Rwanda Energy Group
Rwanda National League
86-102 L
15/07 EAU Rwanda
Rwanda National League
107-88 W
12/07 United Generations
Rwanda National League
93-63 W
10/07 Kepler BBC
Rwanda National League
73-77 L
17/06 Azomco
Rwanda National League
120-55 W
12/06 Patriots BC
Rwanda National League
85-100 L
10/06 EAU Rwanda
Rwanda National League
115-106 W

APR BBC

WWWWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/08 Tigers
Rwanda National League
82-97 L
24/07 Tigers
Rwanda National League
84-82 W
17/07 Patriots BC
Rwanda National League
67-69 L
15/07 Rwanda Energy Group
Rwanda National League
84-78 W
10/07 Inspired Generation
Rwanda National League
121-38 W
17/06 EAU Rwanda
Rwanda National League
117-93 W
14/06 United Generations
Rwanda National League
103-84 W
12/06 Kepler BBC
Rwanda National League
113-84 W
05/06 Azomco
Rwanda National League
114-61 W
15/03 Rwanda Energy Group
Rwanda National League
79-66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tigers vs APR BBC?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Tigers 55% · APR BBC 45%).

How many points are expected in Tigers vs APR BBC?

The model estimates 171.9 total points (Tigers 86.8 · APR BBC 85).