Basketball · Rwanda National League · 12/08, 19:00

Prediction: Tigers vs APR BBC

Team pages: Tigers · APR BBC

Prediction summary
Estimated points
171Total
Tigers84.4
APR BBC86.5
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
44% 56%
Tigers APR BBC

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Tigers 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWWLWLWLL
APR BBC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Tigers 3–3 APR BBC (6 last)
  • APR BBC96-85Tigers
  • Tigers79-82APR BBC
  • APR BBC82-97Tigers
  • Tigers82-84APR BBC
  • APR BBC80-89Tigers
  • APR BBC68-78Tigers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tigers 1529 · APR BBC 1569
TigersAPR BBC
Our model57%43%
Market41%59%
Estimated total (ours) 171 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points171Tigers 84.4 · APR BBC 86.5

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

TigersAPR BBC
Points F|A (Last 10)91.5 / 80.794.9 / 78.9
Points F|A (Last 5)87.2 / 84.482.2 / 82.4
Est. result8487
Est. total171
Line O/U170.5
Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigers 303 APR BBC

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/08/26
Rwanda National League
APR BBC96-85Tigers
07/08/26
Rwanda National League
Tigers79-82APR BBC
05/08/26
Rwanda National League
APR BBC82-97Tigers
24/07/26
Rwanda National League
Tigers82-84APR BBC
01/03/26
Rwanda National League
APR BBC80-89Tigers
06/02/26
Rwanda Super Cup
APR BBC68-78Tigers

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTigersAPR BBC
United Generations 93-78 W 103-84 W
Rwanda Energy Group 86-102 L 84-78 W
EAU Rwanda 107-88 W 117-93 W
Kepler BBC 73-77 L 113-84 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: APR BBC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tigers

WLWWLWLWLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
10/08 APR BBC
Rwanda National League
85-96 L
07/08 APR BBC
Rwanda National League
79-82 L
05/08 APR BBC
Rwanda National League
97-82 W
24/07 APR BBC
Rwanda National League
82-84 L
19/07 United Generations
Rwanda National League
93-78 W
17/07 Rwanda Energy Group
Rwanda National League
86-102 L
15/07 EAU Rwanda
Rwanda National League
107-88 W
12/07 United Generations
Rwanda National League
93-63 W
10/07 Kepler BBC
Rwanda National League
73-77 L
17/06 Azomco
Rwanda National League
120-55 W

APR BBC

WWWWWLWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
10/08 Tigers
Rwanda National League
96-85 W
07/08 Tigers
Rwanda National League
82-79 W
05/08 Tigers
Rwanda National League
82-97 L
24/07 Tigers
Rwanda National League
84-82 W
17/07 Patriots BC
Rwanda National League
67-69 L
15/07 Rwanda Energy Group
Rwanda National League
84-78 W
10/07 Inspired Generation
Rwanda National League
121-38 W
17/06 EAU Rwanda
Rwanda National League
117-93 W
14/06 United Generations
Rwanda National League
103-84 W
12/06 Kepler BBC
Rwanda National League
113-84 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tigers vs APR BBC?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Tigers 44% · APR BBC 56%).

How many points are expected in Tigers vs APR BBC?

The model estimates 171 total points (Tigers 84.4 · APR BBC 86.5).