Basketball · Rwanda National League · 14/08, 19:00
Prediction: Patriots BC vs Rwanda Energy Group
Team pages: Patriots BC · Rwanda Energy Group
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.7Total
Patriots BC81.8
Rwanda Energy Group76
1X2
Patriots BC
Rwanda Energy Group
Recent form · 10 last
Patriots BC
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Rwanda Energy Group
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patriots BC
4–2
Rwanda Energy Group
(6 last)
- Rwanda Energy Group61-72Patriots BC
- Patriots BC65-67Rwanda Energy Group
- Rwanda Energy Group74-71Patriots BC
- Patriots BC84-75Rwanda Energy Group
- Rwanda Energy Group65-84Patriots BC
- Patriots BC85-78Rwanda Energy Group
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patriots BC 1588 · Rwanda Energy Group 1526
| Patriots BC | Rwanda Energy Group | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.7 points · Bet365 line 150.5 · +7.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.7Patriots BC 81.8 · Rwanda Energy Group 76
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patriots BC (rating 1588 vs 1526).
- Patriots BC is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours Patriots BC: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Patriots BC | Rwanda Energy Group | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.6 / 71.6 | 81.5 / 80.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 72.2 / 68.8 | 75.8 / 75.6 |
| Est. result | 82 | 76 |
Est. total157.7
Line O/U150.5
Diff.7.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patriots BC 4–0–2 Rwanda Energy Group
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 Rwanda National League | Rwanda Energy Group | 61-72 | Patriots BC |
| 10/08/26 Rwanda National League | Patriots BC | 65-67 | Rwanda Energy Group |
| 07/08/26 Rwanda National League | Rwanda Energy Group | 74-71 | Patriots BC |
| 05/08/26 Rwanda National League | Patriots BC | 84-75 | Rwanda Energy Group |
| 12/07/26 Rwanda National League | Rwanda Energy Group | 65-84 | Patriots BC |
| 13/03/26 Rwanda National League | Patriots BC | 85-78 | Rwanda Energy Group |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patriots BC | Rwanda Energy Group |
|---|---|---|
| APR BBC | 69-67 W | 78-84 L |
| Tigers | 100-85 W | 102-86 W |
| Kepler BBC | 96-78 W | 96-78 W |
| United Generations | 98-92 W | 100-90 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Rwanda Energy Group (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patriots BC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Rwanda Energy Group Rwanda National League |
72-61 | W |
| 10/08 | Rwanda Energy Group Rwanda National League |
65-67 | L |
| 07/08 | Rwanda Energy Group Rwanda National League |
71-74 | L |
| 05/08 | Rwanda Energy Group Rwanda National League |
84-75 | W |
| 17/07 | APR BBC Rwanda National League |
69-67 | W |
| 12/07 | Rwanda Energy Group Rwanda National League |
84-65 | W |
| 12/06 | Tigers Rwanda National League |
100-85 | W |
| 05/06 | Kepler BBC Rwanda National League |
96-78 | W |
| 08/05 | Inspired Generation Rwanda National League |
87-52 | W |
| 19/04 | United Generations Rwanda National League |
98-92 | W |
Rwanda Energy Group
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
61-72 | L |
| 10/08 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
67-65 | W |
| 07/08 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
74-71 | W |
| 05/08 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
75-84 | L |
| 17/07 | Tigers Rwanda National League |
102-86 | W |
| 15/07 | APR BBC Rwanda National League |
78-84 | L |
| 12/07 | Patriots BC Rwanda National League |
65-84 | L |
| 14/06 | Kepler BBC Rwanda National League |
96-78 | W |
| 08/05 | United Generations Rwanda National League |
100-90 | W |
| 03/05 | Azomco Rwanda National League |
97-89 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patriots BC vs Rwanda Energy Group?
Our model gives 66% to Patriots BC.
How many points are expected in Patriots BC vs Rwanda Energy Group?
The model estimates 157.7 total points (Patriots BC 81.8 · Rwanda Energy Group 76).