Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 04/10, 15:00
Prediction: Bayern Munich vs Oldenburg
Team pages: Bayern Munich · Oldenburg
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.8Total
Bayern Munich86.3
Oldenburg73.5
1X2
Bayern Munich
Oldenburg
Recent form · 10 last
Bayern Munich
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Oldenburg
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bayern Munich
6–0
Oldenburg
(6 last)
- Bayern Munich77-67Oldenburg
- Oldenburg79-87Bayern Munich
- Oldenburg83-94Bayern Munich
- Bayern Munich89-75Oldenburg
- Bayern Munich93-73Oldenburg
- Bayern Munich101-73Oldenburg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayern Munich 1626 · Oldenburg 1557
| Bayern Munich | Oldenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.8 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -6.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.8Bayern Munich 86.3 · Oldenburg 73.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayern Munich (rating 1626 vs 1557).
- Bayern Munich is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours Bayern Munich: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bayern Munich | Oldenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.8 / 75.5 | 82.3 / 79.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 87.2 / 74.2 | 81.6 / 76.8 |
| Est. result | 86 | 74 |
Est. total159.8
Line O/U166.5
Diff.6.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayern Munich 6–0–0 Oldenburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 77-67 | Oldenburg |
| 14/12/25 Germany Bundesliga | Oldenburg | 79-87 | Bayern Munich |
| 13/04/25 Germany Bundesliga | Oldenburg | 83-94 | Bayern Munich |
| 22/12/24 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 89-75 | Oldenburg |
| 05/02/24 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 93-73 | Oldenburg |
| 15/10/23 Germany Cup | Bayern Munich | 101-73 | Oldenburg |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oldenburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 248 | 223 | 6 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 133 | 4 |
| 3 | Braunschweig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 199 | 189 | 4 |
| 4 | Trier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 311 | 281 | 4 |
| 5 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 245 | 4 |
| 6 | Alba Berlin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 260 | 4 |
| 7 | Ludwigsburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 260 | 4 |
| 8 | Telekom Bonn | 3 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 250 | 4 |
| 9 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 144 | 2 |
| 10 | Fraport Skyliners | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 175 | 2 |
| 11 | Hamburg Towers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 240 | 261 | 2 |
| 12 | Rostock Seawolves | 3 | 1 | 2 | 262 | 256 | 2 |
| 13 | Brose Bamberg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 278 | 2 |
| 14 | Syntainics MBC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 230 | 235 | 2 |
| 15 | Chemnitz 99 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 276 | 2 |
| 16 | Jena | 2 | 0 | 2 | 147 | 175 | 0 |
| 17 | SC Vechta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 148 | 201 | 0 |
| 18 | Phoenix Hagen | 3 | 0 | 3 | 263 | 289 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bayern Munich | Oldenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Alba Berlin | 95-61 W | 81-79 W |
| Brose Bamberg | 108-72 W | 61-83 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayern Munich (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayern Munich
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
95-61 | W |
| 20/09 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
108-72 | W |
| 21/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
81-84 | L |
| 19/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
61-71 | L |
| 17/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
91-83 | W |
| 14/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
79-86 | L |
| 12/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
102-94 | W |
| 04/06 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
77-57 | W |
| 01/06 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
91-69 | W |
| 30/05 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
83-78 | W |
Oldenburg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga |
75-74 | W |
| 25/09 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
77-68 | W |
| 20/09 | Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga |
96-81 | W |
| 10/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
67-77 | L |
| 08/05 | Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga |
93-84 | W |
| 02/05 | Trier Germany Bundesliga |
98-95 | W |
| 25/04 | Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga |
94-74 | W |
| 18/04 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
61-83 | L |
| 13/04 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
81-79 | W |
| 05/04 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
81-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayern Munich vs Oldenburg?
Our model gives 82% to Bayern Munich.
How many points are expected in Bayern Munich vs Oldenburg?
The model estimates 159.8 total points (Bayern Munich 86.3 · Oldenburg 73.5).