Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 03/10, 18:30
Prediction: Alba Berlin vs Brose Bamberg
Team pages: Alba Berlin · Brose Bamberg
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169Total
Alba Berlin88.6
Brose Bamberg80.4
1X2
Alba Berlin
Brose Bamberg
Recent form · 10 last
Alba Berlin
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Brose Bamberg
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alba Berlin
3–3
Brose Bamberg
(6 last)
- Alba Berlin97-66Brose Bamberg
- Brose Bamberg81-67Alba Berlin
- Brose Bamberg81-73Alba Berlin
- Alba Berlin85-71Brose Bamberg
- Alba Berlin105-86Brose Bamberg
- Brose Bamberg74-72Alba Berlin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alba Berlin 1576 · Brose Bamberg 1535
| Alba Berlin | Brose Bamberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
169 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points169Alba Berlin 88.6 · Brose Bamberg 80.4
Match keys
- Alba Berlin is a clear favourite (72% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Alba Berlin | Brose Bamberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.6 / 82.1 | 84.7 / 87.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.8 / 80.4 | 84.6 / 88.4 |
| Est. result | 89 | 80 |
Est. total169
Line O/U170.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alba Berlin 3–0–3 Brose Bamberg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 97-66 | Brose Bamberg |
| 06/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | Brose Bamberg | 81-67 | Alba Berlin |
| 04/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | Brose Bamberg | 81-73 | Alba Berlin |
| 01/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 85-71 | Brose Bamberg |
| 30/05/26 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 105-86 | Brose Bamberg |
| 22/02/26 Germany Cup | Brose Bamberg | 74-72 | Alba Berlin |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oldenburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 248 | 223 | 6 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 133 | 4 |
| 3 | Braunschweig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 199 | 189 | 4 |
| 4 | Trier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 311 | 281 | 4 |
| 5 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 245 | 4 |
| 6 | Alba Berlin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 260 | 4 |
| 7 | Ludwigsburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 260 | 4 |
| 8 | Telekom Bonn | 3 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 250 | 4 |
| 9 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 144 | 2 |
| 10 | Fraport Skyliners | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 175 | 2 |
| 11 | Hamburg Towers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 240 | 261 | 2 |
| 12 | Rostock Seawolves | 3 | 1 | 2 | 262 | 256 | 2 |
| 13 | Brose Bamberg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 278 | 2 |
| 14 | Syntainics MBC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 230 | 235 | 2 |
| 15 | Chemnitz 99 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 276 | 2 |
| 16 | Jena | 2 | 0 | 2 | 147 | 175 | 0 |
| 17 | SC Vechta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 148 | 201 | 0 |
| 18 | Phoenix Hagen | 3 | 0 | 3 | 263 | 289 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alba Berlin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
61-95 | L |
| 24/09 | Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga |
94-83 | W |
| 18/09 | Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga |
89-82 | W |
| 21/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
84-81 | W |
| 19/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
71-61 | W |
| 17/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
83-91 | L |
| 14/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
86-79 | W |
| 12/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
94-102 | L |
| 09/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
97-66 | W |
| 06/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
67-81 | L |
Brose Bamberg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga |
96-103 | L |
| 24/09 | SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga |
108-67 | W |
| 20/09 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
72-108 | L |
| 09/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
66-97 | L |
| 06/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
81-67 | W |
| 04/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
81-73 | W |
| 01/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
71-85 | L |
| 30/05 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
86-105 | L |
| 23/05 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
96-87 | W |
| 18/05 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
90-87 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alba Berlin vs Brose Bamberg?
Our model gives 72% to Alba Berlin.
How many points are expected in Alba Berlin vs Brose Bamberg?
The model estimates 169 total points (Alba Berlin 88.6 · Brose Bamberg 80.4).