Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 24/09, 20:00

Prediction: SC Vechta vs Brose Bamberg

Team pages: Brose Bamberg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

179Total

SC Vechta93.6

Brose Bamberg85.4

1X2

72% 28%

SC Vechta Brose Bamberg

Markets

Under 182.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Vechta 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLWLL

Brose Bamberg 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWWLL

Head-to-head

SC Vechta 2–4 Brose Bamberg (6 last)

SC Vechta96-93Brose Bamberg
Brose Bamberg96-86SC Vechta
Brose Bamberg86-73SC Vechta
SC Vechta101-98Brose Bamberg
Brose Bamberg94-65SC Vechta
SC Vechta87-88Brose Bamberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Vechta 1572 · Brose Bamberg 1513

	SC Vechta	Brose Bamberg
Our model	70%	30%
Market	73%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 179 points · Bet365 line 182.5 · -3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points179SC Vechta 93.6 · Brose Bamberg 85.4

Over / Under 182.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~174 pts · strength 9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Vechta (rating 1572 vs 1513).
SC Vechta is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Brose Bamberg: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SC Vechta	Brose Bamberg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	94.7 / 89.4	82.5 / 86.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.4 / 88.8	74.2 / 86
Est. result	94	85

Est. total179

Line O/U182.5

Diff.3.5

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.29

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.87

2 (+7.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 182.51.87

Under 182.51.87

Diff.: 5.9 · Est. total: 176.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.29 → 1.29	Bet365 1.29
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	2
19:47 +3’	1.29	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Vechta 2–0–4 Brose Bamberg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	SC Vechta	96-93	Brose Bamberg
28/01/26 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	96-86	SC Vechta
11/05/25 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	86-73	SC Vechta
08/11/24 Germany Bundesliga	SC Vechta	101-98	Brose Bamberg
09/05/24 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	94-65	SC Vechta
09/12/23 Germany Cup	SC Vechta	87-88	Brose Bamberg

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	108	72	2
2	Telekom Bonn	1	1	0	96	72	2
3	Oldenburg	1	1	0	96	81	2
4	Rostock Seawolves	1	1	0	102	92	2
5	Braunschweig	1	1	0	116	107	2
5	Ratiopharm Ulm	1	1	0	86	77	2
7	Alba Berlin	1	1	0	89	82	2
8	SC Vechta	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Jena	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Fraport Skyliners	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	S.Oliver Wurzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Chemnitz 99	1	0	1	82	89	0
13	Trier	1	0	1	107	116	0
13	Ludwigsburg	1	0	1	77	86	0
15	Phoenix Hagen	1	0	1	92	102	0
16	Syntainics MBC	1	0	1	81	96	0
17	Hamburg Towers	1	0	1	72	96	0
18	Brose Bamberg	1	0	1	72	108	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Vechta	Brose Bamberg
Alba Berlin	89-98 L	66-97 L
Bayern Munich	88-90 L	72-108 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Vechta (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Vechta

WLLWWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	89-98	L
24/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	79-85	L
22/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	91-82	W
19/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	85-90	L
17/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	103-89	W
12/05	Trier Germany Bundesliga	111-83	W
10/05	Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga	103-89	W
08/05	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	78-90	L
03/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	88-90	L
24/04	Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga	120-98	W

Brose Bamberg

WWWWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	72-108	L
09/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	66-97	L
06/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	81-67	W
04/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	81-73	W
01/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	71-85	L
30/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	86-105	L
23/05	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	96-87	W
18/05	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	90-87	W
16/05	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	80-74	W
10/05	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	102-83	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Vechta vs Brose Bamberg?

Our model gives 72% to SC Vechta.

How many points are expected in SC Vechta vs Brose Bamberg?

The model estimates 179 total points (SC Vechta 93.6 · Brose Bamberg 85.4).

Over or under 182.5 points?

Recent history points to under 182.5 points (65%).