Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 25/09, 18:30
Prediction: Trier vs Telekom Bonn
Team pages: Trier · Telekom Bonn
Prediction summary
Estimated points
172.1Total
Trier84.6
Telekom Bonn87.4
1X2
Trier
Telekom Bonn
Markets
Under 177.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Trier
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Telekom Bonn
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trier
2–3
Telekom Bonn
(5 last)
- Telekom Bonn102-77Trier
- Trier102-98Telekom Bonn
- Trier107-90Telekom Bonn
- Trier74-80Telekom Bonn
- Telekom Bonn88-71Trier
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trier 1455 · Telekom Bonn 1509
| Trier | Telekom Bonn | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
172.1 points · Bet365 line 177.5 · -5.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points172.1Trier 84.6 · Telekom Bonn 87.4
Over / Under 177.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~164.2 pts · strength 13
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Telekom Bonn (rating 1455 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Telekom Bonn: 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Trier | Telekom Bonn | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.4 / 96.8 | 74.1 / 79.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78 / 95.4 | 73.2 / 77.2 |
| Est. result | 85 | 87 |
Est. total172.1
Line O/U177.5
Diff.5.4
Over / Under35% / 65%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trier 2–0–3 Telekom Bonn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Germany Bundesliga | Telekom Bonn | 102-77 | Trier |
| 13/12/25 Germany Bundesliga | Trier | 102-98 | Telekom Bonn |
| 17/10/25 Germany Cup | Trier | 107-90 | Telekom Bonn |
| 21/02/15 Germany Bundesliga | Trier | 74-80 | Telekom Bonn |
| 22/11/14 Germany Bundesliga | Telekom Bonn | 88-71 | Trier |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 108 | 72 | 2 |
| 2 | Telekom Bonn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 72 | 2 |
| 3 | Oldenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 81 | 2 |
| 4 | Rostock Seawolves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 92 | 2 |
| 5 | Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 107 | 2 |
| 5 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 77 | 2 |
| 7 | Alba Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 82 | 2 |
| 8 | SC Vechta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Jena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fraport Skyliners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Chemnitz 99 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 82 | 89 | 0 |
| 13 | Trier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 107 | 116 | 0 |
| 13 | Ludwigsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 86 | 0 |
| 15 | Phoenix Hagen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 102 | 0 |
| 16 | Syntainics MBC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 96 | 0 |
| 17 | Hamburg Towers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 96 | 0 |
| 18 | Brose Bamberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 108 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trier
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga |
107-116 | L |
| 23/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
62-99 | L |
| 19/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
65-92 | L |
| 17/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
80-101 | L |
| 14/05 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
76-69 | W |
| 12/05 | SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga |
83-111 | L |
| 10/05 | Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga |
85-78 | W |
| 08/05 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
77-102 | L |
| 02/05 | Oldenburg Germany Bundesliga |
95-98 | L |
| 25/04 | Jena Germany Bundesliga |
94-102 | L |
Telekom Bonn
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga |
96-72 | W |
| 04/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
57-77 | L |
| 01/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
69-91 | L |
| 30/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
78-83 | L |
| 27/05 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
66-63 | W |
| 24/05 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
70-82 | L |
| 22/05 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
80-76 | W |
| 18/05 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
88-81 | W |
| 16/05 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
54-69 | L |
| 10/05 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
83-102 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trier vs Telekom Bonn?
Our model gives 58% to Telekom Bonn.
How many points are expected in Trier vs Telekom Bonn?
The model estimates 172.1 total points (Trier 84.6 · Telekom Bonn 87.4).
Over or under 177.5 points?
Recent history points to under 177.5 points (65%).