Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Oldenburg vs Brose Bamberg

Team pages: Oldenburg · Brose Bamberg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.4Total

Oldenburg83.6

Brose Bamberg81.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Oldenburg Brose Bamberg

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Oldenburg 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Brose Bamberg 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Oldenburg 3–3 Brose Bamberg (6 last)

Brose Bamberg83-61Oldenburg
Oldenburg89-103Brose Bamberg
Brose Bamberg103-85Oldenburg
Oldenburg67-59Brose Bamberg
Oldenburg107-84Brose Bamberg
Brose Bamberg83-92Oldenburg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oldenburg 1492 · Brose Bamberg 1507

	Oldenburg	Brose Bamberg
Our model	61%	39%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 165.4 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.4Oldenburg 83.6 · Brose Bamberg 81.8

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Oldenburg	Brose Bamberg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.9 / 83.6	83.3 / 87.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.2 / 84.6	89.6 / 89.2
Est. result	84	82

Est. total165.4

Line O/U168.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.77

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.87

2 (+1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.87

Under 168.51.87

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 167.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.77	Bet365 1.77
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
15:31 +16’	1.77	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oldenburg 3–0–3 Brose Bamberg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	83-61	Oldenburg
22/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	Oldenburg	89-103	Brose Bamberg
09/02/25 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	103-85	Oldenburg
25/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	Oldenburg	67-59	Brose Bamberg
12/05/24 Germany Bundesliga	Oldenburg	107-84	Brose Bamberg
27/10/23 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	83-92	Oldenburg

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	4	4	0	403	276	8
2	Trier	5	4	1	500	436	8
3	Fraport Skyliners	4	3	1	358	341	6
4	Braunschweig	4	3	1	390	383	6
5	Oldenburg	5	3	2	386	423	6
6	Telekom Bonn	5	3	2	444	401	6
7	Ludwigsburg	5	3	2	448	452	6
8	Rostock Seawolves	5	3	2	454	402	6
9	Syntainics MBC	5	3	2	404	381	6
10	S.Oliver Wurzburg	4	2	2	303	321	4
11	Brose Bamberg	5	2	3	448	446	4
12	Ratiopharm Ulm	5	2	3	410	431	4
13	Jena	5	2	3	376	437	4
14	Alba Berlin	5	2	3	402	453	4
15	Hamburg Towers	5	1	4	402	441	2
16	Chemnitz 99	5	1	4	425	445	2
17	SC Vechta	5	1	4	403	465	2
18	Phoenix Hagen	5	1	4	438	460	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oldenburg	Brose Bamberg
Bayern Munich	60-113 L	72-108 L
Syntainics MBC	96-81 W	74-85 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oldenburg

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Phoenix Hagen Germany Bundesliga	78-87	L
04/10	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	60-113	L
27/09	Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga	75-74	W
25/09	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	77-68	W
20/09	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	96-81	W
10/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	67-77	L
08/05	Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga	93-84	W
02/05	Trier Germany Bundesliga	98-95	W
25/04	Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga	94-74	W
18/04	Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga	61-83	L

Brose Bamberg

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	74-85	L
03/10	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	98-83	W
26/09	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	96-103	L
24/09	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	108-67	W
20/09	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	72-108	L
09/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	66-97	L
06/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	81-67	W
04/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	81-73	W
01/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	71-85	L
30/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	86-105	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oldenburg vs Brose Bamberg?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Oldenburg 55% · Brose Bamberg 45%).

How many points are expected in Oldenburg vs Brose Bamberg?

The model estimates 165.4 total points (Oldenburg 83.6 · Brose Bamberg 81.8).