Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 01/11, 15:00

Prediction: Brose Bamberg vs Jena

Team pages: Brose Bamberg · Jena

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.4Total

Brose Bamberg90

Jena75.5

1X2

85% 15%

Brose Bamberg Jena

Recent form · 10 last

Brose Bamberg 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLWLW

Jena 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Brose Bamberg 5–1 Jena (6 last)

Brose Bamberg81-75Jena
Jena81-102Brose Bamberg
Jena85-90Brose Bamberg
Brose Bamberg99-67Jena
Jena85-68Brose Bamberg
Brose Bamberg80-71Jena

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brose Bamberg 1519 · Jena 1455

	Brose Bamberg	Jena
Our model	71%	29%
Market	89%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 165.4 points · Bet365 line 167 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.4Brose Bamberg 90 · Jena 75.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brose Bamberg (rating 1519 vs 1455).
Brose Bamberg is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Brose Bamberg: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brose Bamberg	Jena
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.7 / 83.8	78.5 / 87.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.2 / 81.6	79.2 / 90.6
Est. result	90	76

Est. total165.4

Line O/U167

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.07

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14)1.87

2 (+14)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 1671.87

Under 1671.87

Diff.: 0.75 · Est. total: 166.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.6%

Time*	1	2
10:37 +34’	1.07	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brose Bamberg 5–0–1 Jena

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	81-75	Jena
20/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	Jena	81-102	Brose Bamberg
25/01/19 Germany Bundesliga	Jena	85-90	Brose Bamberg
25/11/18 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	99-67	Jena
16/02/18 Germany Bundesliga	Jena	85-68	Brose Bamberg
09/12/17 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	80-71	Jena

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	5	5	0	499	353	10
2	Trier	6	5	1	597	524	10
3	Fraport Skyliners	5	4	1	451	423	8
4	Syntainics MBC	6	4	2	507	479	8
5	Ludwigsburg	6	4	2	532	520	8
6	Braunschweig	5	3	2	463	471	6
6	S.Oliver Wurzburg	5	3	2	401	409	6
8	Brose Bamberg	6	3	3	528	516	6
9	Rostock Seawolves	6	3	3	552	505	6
10	Telekom Bonn	6	3	3	512	485	6
11	Oldenburg	6	3	3	456	503	6
12	Alba Berlin	6	3	3	500	535	6
13	Ratiopharm Ulm	6	2	4	492	529	4
14	Jena	6	2	4	458	530	4
15	SC Vechta	7	2	5	591	636	4
16	Phoenix Hagen	7	2	5	600	633	4
17	Hamburg Towers	6	1	5	479	537	2
18	Chemnitz 99	6	1	5	513	543	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brose Bamberg	Jena
Syntainics MBC	74-85 L	62-77 L
Alba Berlin	98-83 W	65-83 L
SC Vechta	108-67 W	79-71 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brose Bamberg (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brose Bamberg

LWWLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Oldenburg Germany Bundesliga	80-70	W
10/10	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	74-85	L
03/10	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	98-83	W
26/09	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	96-103	L
24/09	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	108-67	W
20/09	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	72-108	L
09/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	66-97	L
06/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	81-67	W
04/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	81-73	W
01/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	71-85	L

Jena

WLWLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga	82-93	L
09/10	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	68-115	L
04/10	Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga	82-76	W
01/10	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	79-71	W
27/09	Trier Germany Bundesliga	85-98	L
25/09	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	62-77	L
10/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	65-83	L
07/05	Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga	81-79	W
02/05	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	79-89	L
25/04	Trier Germany Bundesliga	102-94	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brose Bamberg vs Jena?

Our model gives 85% to Brose Bamberg.

How many points are expected in Brose Bamberg vs Jena?

The model estimates 165.4 total points (Brose Bamberg 90 · Jena 75.5).