Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 01/11, 18:00

Prediction: Telekom Bonn vs Alba Berlin

Team pages: Telekom Bonn · Alba Berlin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.3Total

Telekom Bonn81.3

Alba Berlin80.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Telekom Bonn Alba Berlin

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Telekom Bonn 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Alba Berlin 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Telekom Bonn 1–5 Alba Berlin (6 last)

Alba Berlin91-75Telekom Bonn
Telekom Bonn70-84Alba Berlin
Alba Berlin102-88Telekom Bonn
Telekom Bonn91-87Alba Berlin
Telekom Bonn86-93Alba Berlin
Alba Berlin83-70Telekom Bonn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Telekom Bonn 1499 · Alba Berlin 1574

	Telekom Bonn	Alba Berlin
Our model	52%	48%
Market	51%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 162.3 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162.3Telekom Bonn 81.3 · Alba Berlin 80.9

Match keys

H2H favours Alba Berlin: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Telekom Bonn	Alba Berlin
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.2 / 79.9	82.4 / 84.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.2 / 82.6	82.2 / 90.6
Est. result	81	81

Est. total162.3

Line O/U163.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.83

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.87

2 (+1)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 163.51.87

Under 163.51.87

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 162.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	2
17:49 +6’	1.83	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Telekom Bonn 1–0–5 Alba Berlin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	Alba Berlin	91-75	Telekom Bonn
02/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	70-84	Alba Berlin
16/04/25 Germany Bundesliga	Alba Berlin	102-88	Telekom Bonn
06/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	91-87	Alba Berlin
21/05/24 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	86-93	Alba Berlin
19/05/24 Germany Bundesliga	Alba Berlin	83-70	Telekom Bonn

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	5	5	0	499	353	10
2	Trier	6	5	1	597	524	10
3	Syntainics MBC	6	4	2	507	479	8
4	Ludwigsburg	6	4	2	532	520	8
5	Fraport Skyliners	4	3	1	358	341	6
6	Braunschweig	5	3	2	463	471	6
6	S.Oliver Wurzburg	5	3	2	401	409	6
8	Brose Bamberg	6	3	3	528	516	6
9	Rostock Seawolves	6	3	3	552	505	6
10	Telekom Bonn	6	3	3	512	485	6
11	Oldenburg	6	3	3	456	503	6
12	Alba Berlin	6	3	3	500	535	6
13	Jena	5	2	3	376	437	4
14	Ratiopharm Ulm	6	2	4	492	529	4
15	Phoenix Hagen	6	2	4	526	533	4
16	Hamburg Towers	6	1	5	479	537	2
17	SC Vechta	6	1	5	491	562	2
18	Chemnitz 99	6	1	5	513	543	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Telekom Bonn	Alba Berlin
Trier	80-106 L	75-95 L
Bayern Munich	57-77 L	61-95 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Telekom Bonn

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	68-84	L
09/10	Jena Germany Bundesliga	115-68	W
02/10	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	76-83	L
27/09	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	77-72	W
25/09	Trier Germany Bundesliga	80-106	L
19/09	Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga	96-72	W
04/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	57-77	L
01/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	69-91	L
30/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	78-83	L
27/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	66-63	W

Alba Berlin

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	98-82	W
10/10	Trier Germany Bundesliga	75-95	L
03/10	Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga	83-98	L
26/09	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	61-95	L
24/09	Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga	94-83	W
18/09	Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga	89-82	W
21/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	84-81	W
19/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	71-61	W
17/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	83-91	L
14/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	86-79	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Telekom Bonn vs Alba Berlin?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Telekom Bonn 51% · Alba Berlin 49%).

How many points are expected in Telekom Bonn vs Alba Berlin?

The model estimates 162.3 total points (Telekom Bonn 81.3 · Alba Berlin 80.9).