Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 26/09, 15:30
Prediction: Bayern Munich vs Alba Berlin
Team pages: Bayern Munich · Alba Berlin
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.5Total
Bayern Munich86.2
Alba Berlin76.3
1X2
Bayern Munich
Alba Berlin
Recent form · 10 last
Bayern Munich
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Alba Berlin
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bayern Munich
3–3
Alba Berlin
(6 last)
- Bayern Munich81-84Alba Berlin
- Alba Berlin71-61Bayern Munich
- Alba Berlin83-91Bayern Munich
- Bayern Munich79-86Alba Berlin
- Bayern Munich102-94Alba Berlin
- Bayern Munich85-79Alba Berlin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayern Munich 1615 · Alba Berlin 1594
| Bayern Munich | Alba Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.5 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.5Bayern Munich 86.2 · Alba Berlin 76.3
Match keys
- Bayern Munich is a clear favourite (76% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bayern Munich | Alba Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87.2 / 75.6 | 83.8 / 80.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84 / 79.2 | 84.2 / 79.6 |
| Est. result | 86 | 76 |
Est. total162.5
Line O/U169.5
Diff.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayern Munich 3–0–3 Alba Berlin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 81-84 | Alba Berlin |
| 19/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 71-61 | Bayern Munich |
| 17/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 83-91 | Bayern Munich |
| 14/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 79-86 | Alba Berlin |
| 12/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 102-94 | Alba Berlin |
| 01/05/26 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 85-79 | Alba Berlin |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oldenburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 173 | 149 | 4 |
| 1 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 2 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 155 | 4 |
| 3 | Alba Berlin | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 165 | 4 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 108 | 72 | 2 |
| 5 | Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 107 | 2 |
| 6 | Trier | 2 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 196 | 2 |
| 7 | Ludwigsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 164 | 2 |
| 8 | Telekom Bonn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 178 | 2 |
| 9 | Brose Bamberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 175 | 2 |
| 10 | Syntainics MBC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 158 | 2 |
| 11 | Rostock Seawolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 173 | 2 |
| 12 | Hamburg Towers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 166 | 186 | 2 |
| 13 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 77 | 0 |
| 14 | Fraport Skyliners | 1 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 94 | 0 |
| 15 | Jena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 77 | 0 |
| 16 | SC Vechta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 108 | 0 |
| 17 | Chemnitz 99 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 172 | 183 | 0 |
| 18 | Phoenix Hagen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 170 | 195 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayern Munich
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
108-72 | W |
| 21/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
81-84 | L |
| 19/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
61-71 | L |
| 17/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
91-83 | W |
| 14/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
79-86 | L |
| 12/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
102-94 | W |
| 04/06 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
77-57 | W |
| 01/06 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
91-69 | W |
| 30/05 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
83-78 | W |
| 23/05 | Trier Germany Bundesliga |
99-62 | W |
Alba Berlin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga |
94-83 | W |
| 18/09 | Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga |
89-82 | W |
| 21/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
84-81 | W |
| 19/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
71-61 | W |
| 17/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
83-91 | L |
| 14/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
86-79 | W |
| 12/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
94-102 | L |
| 09/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
97-66 | W |
| 06/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
67-81 | L |
| 04/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
73-81 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayern Munich vs Alba Berlin?
Our model gives 76% to Bayern Munich.
How many points are expected in Bayern Munich vs Alba Berlin?
The model estimates 162.5 total points (Bayern Munich 86.2 · Alba Berlin 76.3).