Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 24/09, 18:30
Prediction: Alba Berlin vs Fraport Skyliners
Team pages: Alba Berlin
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.4Total
Alba Berlin88.9
Fraport Skyliners75.5
1X2
Alba Berlin
Fraport Skyliners
Recent form · 10 last
Alba Berlin
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Fraport Skyliners
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alba Berlin
6–0
Fraport Skyliners
(6 last)
- Fraport Skyliners61-87Alba Berlin
- Alba Berlin89-83Fraport Skyliners
- Alba Berlin89-68Fraport Skyliners
- Fraport Skyliners61-75Alba Berlin
- Fraport Skyliners61-79Alba Berlin
- Alba Berlin99-74Fraport Skyliners
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alba Berlin 1577 · Fraport Skyliners 1444
| Alba Berlin | Fraport Skyliners | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 22% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.4 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -2.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.4Alba Berlin 88.9 · Fraport Skyliners 75.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alba Berlin (rating 1577 vs 1444).
- Alba Berlin is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Alba Berlin: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Alba Berlin | Fraport Skyliners | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.9 / 79.5 | 74.5 / 87.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.6 / 78.8 | 69 / 92 |
| Est. result | 89 | 76 |
Est. total164.4
Line O/U166.5
Diff.2.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alba Berlin 6–0–0 Fraport Skyliners
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Germany Bundesliga | Fraport Skyliners | 61-87 | Alba Berlin |
| 07/12/25 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 89-83 | Fraport Skyliners |
| 20/04/25 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 89-68 | Fraport Skyliners |
| 12/01/25 Germany Bundesliga | Fraport Skyliners | 61-75 | Alba Berlin |
| 02/04/23 Germany Bundesliga | Fraport Skyliners | 61-79 | Alba Berlin |
| 03/01/23 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 99-74 | Fraport Skyliners |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 108 | 72 | 2 |
| 2 | Telekom Bonn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 72 | 2 |
| 3 | Oldenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 81 | 2 |
| 4 | Rostock Seawolves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 92 | 2 |
| 5 | Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 107 | 2 |
| 5 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 77 | 2 |
| 7 | Alba Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 82 | 2 |
| 8 | SC Vechta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Jena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fraport Skyliners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Chemnitz 99 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 82 | 89 | 0 |
| 13 | Trier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 107 | 116 | 0 |
| 13 | Ludwigsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 86 | 0 |
| 15 | Phoenix Hagen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 102 | 0 |
| 16 | Syntainics MBC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 96 | 0 |
| 17 | Hamburg Towers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 96 | 0 |
| 18 | Brose Bamberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 108 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alba Berlin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga |
89-82 | W |
| 21/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
84-81 | W |
| 19/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
71-61 | W |
| 17/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
83-91 | L |
| 14/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
86-79 | W |
| 12/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
94-102 | L |
| 09/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
97-66 | W |
| 06/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
67-81 | L |
| 04/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
73-81 | L |
| 01/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
85-71 | W |
Fraport Skyliners
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
64-103 | L |
| 07/05 | Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga |
82-86 | L |
| 01/05 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
72-104 | L |
| 26/04 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
61-87 | L |
| 17/04 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
66-80 | L |
| 12/04 | Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga |
73-93 | L |
| 05/04 | Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga |
75-97 | L |
| 02/04 | Jena Germany Bundesliga |
90-58 | W |
| 29/03 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
97-74 | W |
| 20/03 | Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga |
65-97 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alba Berlin vs Fraport Skyliners?
Our model gives 83% to Alba Berlin.
How many points are expected in Alba Berlin vs Fraport Skyliners?
The model estimates 164.4 total points (Alba Berlin 88.9 · Fraport Skyliners 75.5).