Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 24/09, 18:30

Prediction: Ludwigsburg vs Rostock Seawolves

Team pages: Ludwigsburg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.5Total

Ludwigsburg82

Rostock Seawolves80.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Ludwigsburg Rostock Seawolves

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 170.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Ludwigsburg 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLLLLL

Rostock Seawolves 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ludwigsburg 2–4 Rostock Seawolves (6 last)

Rostock Seawolves91-71Ludwigsburg
Ludwigsburg75-61Rostock Seawolves
Rostock Seawolves96-89Ludwigsburg
Rostock Seawolves94-89Ludwigsburg
Ludwigsburg70-64Rostock Seawolves
Rostock Seawolves91-85Ludwigsburg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ludwigsburg 1466 · Rostock Seawolves 1499

	Ludwigsburg	Rostock Seawolves
Our model	58%	42%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 162.5 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162.5Ludwigsburg 82 · Rostock Seawolves 80.6

Over / Under 170.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~162.4 pts · strength 8

Match keys

H2H favours Rostock Seawolves: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ludwigsburg	Rostock Seawolves
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.1 / 85.6	82.3 / 79.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.2 / 87.2	91 / 77.6
Est. result	82	81

Est. total162.5

Line O/U170.5

Diff.8

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.77

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.87

2 (+1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 170.51.87

Under 170.51.87

Diff.: 9.3 · Est. total: 161.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.77	Bet365 1.77
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
19:21 +27’	1.77	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ludwigsburg 2–0–4 Rostock Seawolves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/05/26 Germany Bundesliga	Rostock Seawolves	91-71	Ludwigsburg
25/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	Ludwigsburg	75-61	Rostock Seawolves
15/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	Rostock Seawolves	96-89	Ludwigsburg
05/04/25 Germany Bundesliga	Rostock Seawolves	94-89	Ludwigsburg
02/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	Ludwigsburg	70-64	Rostock Seawolves
30/04/24 Germany Bundesliga	Rostock Seawolves	91-85	Ludwigsburg

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	108	72	2
2	Telekom Bonn	1	1	0	96	72	2
3	Oldenburg	1	1	0	96	81	2
4	Rostock Seawolves	1	1	0	102	92	2
5	Braunschweig	1	1	0	116	107	2
5	Ratiopharm Ulm	1	1	0	86	77	2
7	Alba Berlin	1	1	0	89	82	2
8	SC Vechta	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Jena	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Fraport Skyliners	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	S.Oliver Wurzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Chemnitz 99	1	0	1	82	89	0
13	Trier	1	0	1	107	116	0
13	Ludwigsburg	1	0	1	77	86	0
15	Phoenix Hagen	1	0	1	92	102	0
16	Syntainics MBC	1	0	1	81	96	0
17	Hamburg Towers	1	0	1	72	96	0
18	Brose Bamberg	1	0	1	72	108	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ludwigsburg	Rostock Seawolves
Ratiopharm Ulm	77-86 L	68-75 L
Bayern Munich	78-86 L	64-86 L
Trier	76-92 L	69-76 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rostock Seawolves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ludwigsburg

LLLWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	77-86	L
12/05	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	71-91	L
10/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	58-75	L
07/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	78-86	L
02/05	Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga	97-98	L
25/04	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	75-61	W
18/04	Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga	83-73	W
14/04	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	59-93	L
11/04	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	77-101	L
06/04	Trier Germany Bundesliga	76-92	L

Rostock Seawolves

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Phoenix Hagen Germany Bundesliga	102-92	W
14/05	Trier Germany Bundesliga	69-76	L
12/05	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	91-71	W
10/05	Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga	103-71	W
08/05	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	90-78	W
02/05	Jena Germany Bundesliga	89-79	W
27/04	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	64-86	L
25/04	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	61-75	L
22/04	Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga	86-91	L
19/04	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	68-75	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ludwigsburg vs Rostock Seawolves?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ludwigsburg 54% · Rostock Seawolves 46%).

How many points are expected in Ludwigsburg vs Rostock Seawolves?

The model estimates 162.5 total points (Ludwigsburg 82 · Rostock Seawolves 80.6).

Over or under 170.5 points?

Recent history points to under 170.5 points (70%).