Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 25/10, 18:00
Prediction: Alba Berlin vs Ratiopharm Ulm
Team pages: Alba Berlin · Ratiopharm Ulm
Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.7Total
Alba Berlin88.2
Ratiopharm Ulm82.4
1X2
Alba Berlin
Ratiopharm Ulm
Recent form · 10 last
Alba Berlin
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Ratiopharm Ulm
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alba Berlin
2–4
Ratiopharm Ulm
(6 last)
- Ratiopharm Ulm77-89Alba Berlin
- Alba Berlin66-67Ratiopharm Ulm
- Alba Berlin90-68Ratiopharm Ulm
- Ratiopharm Ulm93-84Alba Berlin
- Alba Berlin62-74Ratiopharm Ulm
- Ratiopharm Ulm94-83Alba Berlin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alba Berlin 1558 · Ratiopharm Ulm 1467
| Alba Berlin | Ratiopharm Ulm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
170.7 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +3.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points170.7Alba Berlin 88.2 · Ratiopharm Ulm 82.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alba Berlin (rating 1558 vs 1467).
- Alba Berlin is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours Ratiopharm Ulm: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Alba Berlin | Ratiopharm Ulm | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82 / 86.7 | 84.5 / 85.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.4 / 90.6 | 82 / 86.2 |
| Est. result | 88 | 82 |
Est. total170.7
Line O/U167.5
Diff.3.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alba Berlin 2–0–4 Ratiopharm Ulm
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Germany Bundesliga | Ratiopharm Ulm | 77-89 | Alba Berlin |
| 20/12/25 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 66-67 | Ratiopharm Ulm |
| 19/10/25 Germany Cup | Alba Berlin | 90-68 | Ratiopharm Ulm |
| 24/05/25 Germany Bundesliga | Ratiopharm Ulm | 93-84 | Alba Berlin |
| 21/05/25 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 62-74 | Ratiopharm Ulm |
| 17/05/25 Germany Bundesliga | Ratiopharm Ulm | 94-83 | Alba Berlin |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 4 | 0 | 403 | 276 | 8 |
| 2 | Trier | 5 | 4 | 1 | 500 | 436 | 8 |
| 3 | Fraport Skyliners | 4 | 3 | 1 | 358 | 341 | 6 |
| 4 | Braunschweig | 4 | 3 | 1 | 390 | 383 | 6 |
| 5 | Oldenburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 386 | 423 | 6 |
| 6 | Telekom Bonn | 5 | 3 | 2 | 444 | 401 | 6 |
| 7 | Ludwigsburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 448 | 452 | 6 |
| 8 | Rostock Seawolves | 5 | 3 | 2 | 454 | 402 | 6 |
| 9 | Syntainics MBC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 404 | 381 | 6 |
| 10 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 303 | 321 | 4 |
| 11 | Brose Bamberg | 5 | 2 | 3 | 448 | 446 | 4 |
| 12 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 5 | 2 | 3 | 410 | 431 | 4 |
| 13 | Jena | 5 | 2 | 3 | 376 | 437 | 4 |
| 14 | Alba Berlin | 5 | 2 | 3 | 402 | 453 | 4 |
| 15 | Hamburg Towers | 5 | 1 | 4 | 402 | 441 | 2 |
| 16 | Chemnitz 99 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 425 | 445 | 2 |
| 17 | SC Vechta | 5 | 1 | 4 | 403 | 465 | 2 |
| 18 | Phoenix Hagen | 5 | 1 | 4 | 438 | 460 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alba Berlin | Ratiopharm Ulm |
|---|---|---|
| Brose Bamberg | 83-98 L | 87-96 L |
| Fraport Skyliners | 94-83 W | 103-64 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ratiopharm Ulm (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alba Berlin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Trier Germany Bundesliga |
75-95 | L |
| 03/10 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
83-98 | L |
| 26/09 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
61-95 | L |
| 24/09 | Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga |
94-83 | W |
| 18/09 | Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga |
89-82 | W |
| 21/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
84-81 | W |
| 19/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
71-61 | W |
| 17/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
83-91 | L |
| 14/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
86-79 | W |
| 12/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
94-102 | L |
Ratiopharm Ulm
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga |
92-97 | L |
| 03/10 | Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga |
72-89 | L |
| 27/09 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
67-90 | L |
| 25/09 | Phoenix Hagen Germany Bundesliga |
93-78 | W |
| 20/09 | Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga |
86-77 | W |
| 23/05 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
87-96 | L |
| 18/05 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
87-90 | L |
| 16/05 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
74-80 | L |
| 10/05 | Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga |
103-64 | W |
| 02/05 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
84-98 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alba Berlin vs Ratiopharm Ulm?
Our model gives 66% to Alba Berlin.
How many points are expected in Alba Berlin vs Ratiopharm Ulm?
The model estimates 170.7 total points (Alba Berlin 88.2 · Ratiopharm Ulm 82.4).