Prediction: Cantu vs Derthona Basket
Team pages: Cantu · Derthona Basket
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Derthona Basket100-73Cantu
- Cantu79-85Derthona Basket
| Cantu | Derthona Basket | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Derthona Basket: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cantu | Derthona Basket | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.3 / 90.7 | 84 / 86.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.2 / 93.2 | 83 / 87.2 |
| Est. result | 84 | 86 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cantu 0–0–2 Derthona Basket
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Italy Lega 1 | Derthona Basket | 100-73 | Cantu |
| 04/01/26 Italy Lega 1 | Cantu | 79-85 | Derthona Basket |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 7 | 6 | 1 | 675 | 602 | 12 |
| 2 | Napoli | 7 | 6 | 1 | 656 | 606 | 12 |
| 3 | Milano | 7 | 5 | 2 | 636 | 579 | 10 |
| 4 | Maxima Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 617 | 586 | 10 |
| 5 | Treviso | 7 | 5 | 2 | 635 | 620 | 10 |
| 6 | Venezia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 615 | 620 | 8 |
| 7 | Udine | 7 | 4 | 3 | 569 | 562 | 8 |
| 8 | Varese | 7 | 4 | 3 | 614 | 613 | 8 |
| 9 | Trieste | 7 | 4 | 3 | 661 | 619 | 8 |
| 10 | Verona | 7 | 3 | 4 | 619 | 638 | 6 |
| 11 | Trento | 7 | 3 | 4 | 563 | 585 | 6 |
| 12 | Roma Basketball | 7 | 2 | 5 | 701 | 695 | 4 |
| 13 | Reggio Emilia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 572 | 586 | 4 |
| 14 | Derthona Basket | 7 | 2 | 5 | 586 | 637 | 4 |
| 15 | Scafati | 7 | 1 | 6 | 571 | 644 | 2 |
| 16 | Cantu | 7 | 0 | 7 | 538 | 636 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cantu | Derthona Basket |
|---|---|---|
| Maxima Roma | 87-99 L | 75-89 L |
| Reggio Emilia | 60-81 L | 86-93 L |
| Napoli | 80-99 L | 90-92 L |
| Udine | 84-85 L | 77-86 L |
| Venezia | 73-85 L | 83-89 L |
| Treviso | 72-80 L | 87-76 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Derthona Basket (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cantu
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Maxima Roma Italy Lega 1 |
87-99 | L |
| 02/11 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
82-95 | L |
| 25/10 | Reggio Emilia Italy Lega 1 |
60-81 | L |
| 18/10 | Trieste Italy Lega 1 |
72-92 | L |
| 11/10 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
80-99 | L |
| 05/10 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
84-85 | L |
| 26/09 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
73-85 | L |
| 03/05 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
72-80 | L |
| 25/04 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
83-95 | L |
| 19/04 | Varese Italy Lega 1 |
100-96 | W |
Derthona Basket
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
87-76 | W |
| 01/11 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
77-86 | L |
| 25/10 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
90-92 | L |
| 18/10 | Maxima Roma Italy Lega 1 |
75-89 | L |
| 11/10 | Reggio Emilia Italy Lega 1 |
86-93 | L |
| 04/10 | Roma Basketball Italy Lega 1 |
70-108 | L |
| 27/09 | Verona Italy Lega 1 |
101-93 | W |
| 26/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
83-89 | L |
| 24/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
89-71 | W |
| 22/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
82-71 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cantu vs Derthona Basket?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Cantu 45% · Derthona Basket 55%).
How many points are expected in Cantu vs Derthona Basket?
The model estimates 169.4 total points (Cantu 83.8 · Derthona Basket 85.6).