Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 15/11, 18:15
Prediction: Udine vs Milano
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.8Total
Udine80.5
Milano86.3
1X2
Udine
Milano
Recent form · 10 last
Udine
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Milano
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Udine
1–1
Milano
(2 last)
- Udine86-83Milano
- Milano85-84Udine
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Udine 1508 · Milano 1507
| Udine | Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.8 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · +1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.8Udine 80.5 · Milano 86.3
Match keys
- Milano is a clear favourite (66% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Udine | Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.4 / 81.9 | 91.1 / 83.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.4 / 83 | 96.2 / 85 |
| Est. result | 81 | 86 |
Est. total166.8
Line O/U165.5
Diff.1.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Udine 1–0–1 Milano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Italy Lega 1 | Udine | 86-83 | Milano |
| 04/01/26 Italy Lega 1 | Milano | 85-84 | Udine |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 7 | 6 | 1 | 675 | 602 | 12 |
| 2 | Napoli | 7 | 6 | 1 | 656 | 606 | 12 |
| 3 | Milano | 7 | 5 | 2 | 636 | 579 | 10 |
| 4 | Maxima Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 617 | 586 | 10 |
| 5 | Treviso | 7 | 5 | 2 | 635 | 620 | 10 |
| 6 | Venezia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 615 | 620 | 8 |
| 7 | Udine | 7 | 4 | 3 | 569 | 562 | 8 |
| 8 | Varese | 7 | 4 | 3 | 614 | 613 | 8 |
| 9 | Trieste | 7 | 4 | 3 | 661 | 619 | 8 |
| 10 | Verona | 7 | 3 | 4 | 619 | 638 | 6 |
| 11 | Trento | 7 | 3 | 4 | 563 | 585 | 6 |
| 12 | Roma Basketball | 7 | 2 | 5 | 701 | 695 | 4 |
| 13 | Reggio Emilia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 572 | 586 | 4 |
| 14 | Derthona Basket | 7 | 2 | 5 | 586 | 637 | 4 |
| 15 | Scafati | 7 | 1 | 6 | 571 | 644 | 2 |
| 16 | Cantu | 7 | 0 | 7 | 538 | 636 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Udine | Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Treviso | 86-102 L | 106-77 W |
| Trento | 66-74 L | 88-86 W |
| Cantu | 85-84 W | 95-82 W |
| Napoli | 71-98 L | 98-82 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Milano (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Udine
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Varese Italy Lega 1 |
84-81 | W |
| 01/11 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
86-77 | W |
| 25/10 | Maxima Roma Italy Lega 1 |
75-81 | L |
| 18/10 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
86-102 | L |
| 10/10 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
66-74 | L |
| 05/10 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
85-84 | W |
| 27/09 | Scafati Italy Lega 1 |
87-63 | W |
| 10/05 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
71-98 | L |
| 03/05 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
69-76 | L |
| 25/04 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
95-83 | W |
Milano
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
88-86 | W |
| 02/11 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
95-82 | W |
| 25/10 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
94-98 | L |
| 18/10 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
98-82 | W |
| 11/10 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
106-77 | W |
| 05/10 | Verona Italy Lega 1 |
72-75 | L |
| 27/09 | Trieste Italy Lega 1 |
83-79 | W |
| 18/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
86-72 | W |
| 16/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
97-109 | L |
| 13/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
92-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Udine vs Milano?
Our model gives 66% to Milano.
How many points are expected in Udine vs Milano?
The model estimates 166.8 total points (Udine 80.5 · Milano 86.3).