Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 14/11, 20:00
Prediction: Reggio Emilia vs Varese
Team pages: Reggio Emilia · Varese
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.1Total
Reggio Emilia85
Varese81.1
1X2
Reggio Emilia
Varese
Recent form · 10 last
Reggio Emilia
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Varese
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Reggio Emilia
6–0
Varese
(6 last)
- Varese61-76Reggio Emilia
- Reggio Emilia103-79Varese
- Varese63-78Reggio Emilia
- Reggio Emilia97-80Varese
- Varese90-98Reggio Emilia
- Reggio Emilia113-80Varese
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reggio Emilia 1446 · Varese 1493
| Reggio Emilia | Varese | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.1 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -4.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.1Reggio Emilia 85 · Varese 81.1
Match keys
- H2H favours Reggio Emilia: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Reggio Emilia | Varese | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.3 / 84.3 | 87.9 / 89.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.2 / 80.8 | 92 / 89.2 |
| Est. result | 85 | 81 |
Est. total166.1
Line O/U170.5
Diff.4.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reggio Emilia 6–0–0 Varese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Italy Lega 1 | Varese | 61-76 | Reggio Emilia |
| 19/10/25 Italy Lega 1 | Reggio Emilia | 103-79 | Varese |
| 16/03/25 Italy Lega 1 | Varese | 63-78 | Reggio Emilia |
| 22/12/24 Italy Lega 1 | Reggio Emilia | 97-80 | Varese |
| 21/09/24 Club Friendlies | Varese | 90-98 | Reggio Emilia |
| 17/03/24 Italy Lega 1 | Reggio Emilia | 113-80 | Varese |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 7 | 6 | 1 | 675 | 602 | 12 |
| 2 | Napoli | 7 | 6 | 1 | 656 | 606 | 12 |
| 3 | Milano | 7 | 5 | 2 | 636 | 579 | 10 |
| 4 | Maxima Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 617 | 586 | 10 |
| 5 | Treviso | 7 | 5 | 2 | 635 | 620 | 10 |
| 6 | Venezia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 615 | 620 | 8 |
| 7 | Udine | 7 | 4 | 3 | 569 | 562 | 8 |
| 8 | Varese | 7 | 4 | 3 | 614 | 613 | 8 |
| 9 | Trieste | 7 | 4 | 3 | 661 | 619 | 8 |
| 10 | Verona | 7 | 3 | 4 | 619 | 638 | 6 |
| 11 | Trento | 7 | 3 | 4 | 563 | 585 | 6 |
| 12 | Roma Basketball | 7 | 2 | 5 | 701 | 695 | 4 |
| 13 | Reggio Emilia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 572 | 586 | 4 |
| 14 | Derthona Basket | 7 | 2 | 5 | 586 | 637 | 4 |
| 15 | Scafati | 7 | 1 | 6 | 571 | 644 | 2 |
| 16 | Cantu | 7 | 0 | 7 | 538 | 636 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reggio Emilia | Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Cantu | 81-60 W | 96-100 L |
| Verona | 81-94 L | 99-88 W |
| Trento | 78-83 L | 85-87 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Varese (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reggio Emilia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
78-83 | L |
| 31/10 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
68-81 | L |
| 25/10 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
81-60 | W |
| 18/10 | Verona Italy Lega 1 |
81-94 | L |
| 11/10 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
93-86 | W |
| 03/10 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
93-99 | L |
| 26/09 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
78-83 | L |
| 21/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
72-84 | L |
| 18/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
65-77 | L |
| 16/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
84-96 | L |
Varese
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
81-84 | L |
| 31/10 | Verona Italy Lega 1 |
99-88 | W |
| 24/10 | Roma Basketball Italy Lega 1 |
110-103 | W |
| 18/10 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
85-87 | L |
| 10/10 | Trieste Italy Lega 1 |
85-84 | W |
| 04/10 | Scafati Italy Lega 1 |
85-77 | W |
| 27/09 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
69-90 | L |
| 10/05 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
85-104 | L |
| 26/04 | Vanoli Cremona Italy Lega 1 |
84-75 | W |
| 19/04 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
96-100 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reggio Emilia vs Varese?
Our model gives 61% to Reggio Emilia.
How many points are expected in Reggio Emilia vs Varese?
The model estimates 166.1 total points (Reggio Emilia 85 · Varese 81.1).