Basketball · Chile LNB · 03/08, 02:00

Prediction: Puerto Montt vs Puerto Varas

Team pages: Puerto Montt · Puerto Varas

Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.2Total
Puerto Montt79.2
Puerto Varas81
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
45% 55%
Puerto Montt Puerto Varas

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Montt 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLLLLL
Puerto Varas 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLWLWLLW
Head-to-head
Puerto Montt 2–4 Puerto Varas (6 last)
  • Puerto Varas86-81Puerto Montt
  • Puerto Varas86-85Puerto Montt
  • Puerto Montt102-91Puerto Varas
  • Puerto Varas73-76Puerto Montt
  • Puerto Montt70-87Puerto Varas
  • Puerto Varas113-67Puerto Montt
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puerto Montt 1404 · Puerto Varas 1483
Puerto MonttPuerto Varas
Our model52%48%
Market44%56%
Estimated total (ours) 160.2 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points160.2Puerto Montt 79.2 · Puerto Varas 81

Match keys

  • H2H favours Puerto Varas: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Puerto MonttPuerto Varas
Points F|A (Last 10)76 / 89.373.6 / 81.3
Points F|A (Last 5)73.2 / 9379.2 / 84.2
Est. result7981
Est. total160.2
Line O/U157.5
Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt 204 Puerto Varas

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/07/26
Chile LNB
Puerto Varas86-81Puerto Montt
16/04/26
Chile LNB
Puerto Varas86-85Puerto Montt
26/03/26
Chile LNB
Puerto Montt102-91Puerto Varas
23/03/24
Chile LNB
Puerto Varas73-76Puerto Montt
03/03/24
Chile LNB
Puerto Montt70-87Puerto Varas
12/11/23
Chile LNB Cup
Puerto Varas113-67Puerto Montt

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Espanol Osorno 761 61759113
2 Deportivo Valdivia 660 57243212
3 Puerto Varas 734 53359910
4 Las Animas 826 67668410
5 ABA Ancud 734 59759510
6 CD Castro 734 51256410
7 Puerto Montt Basquetbol 615 4534957

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPuerto MonttPuerto Varas
Deportivo Valdivia 70-88 L 68-85 L
Las Animas 84-91 L 91-90 W
CD Castro 89-86 W 77-69 W
ABA Ancud 88-90 L 84-90 L
Espanol Osorno 67-79 L 76-87 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Puerto Varas (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puerto Montt

LLLLWLLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
18/07 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
70-88 L
14/07 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
81-86 L
12/07 Las Animas
Chile LNB
84-91 L
10/05 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
75-97 L
07/05 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
56-103 L
04/05 CD Castro
Chile LNB
89-86 W
30/04 ABA Ancud
Chile LNB
88-90 L
27/04 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
67-79 L
23/04 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
72-82 L
18/04 Las Animas
Chile LNB
78-91 L

Puerto Varas

WLLLWLWLLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
30/07 Las Animas
Chile LNB
91-90 W
27/07 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
76-87 L
26/07 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
68-85 L
20/07 CD Castro
Chile LNB
77-69 W
19/07 ABA Ancud
Chile LNB
84-90 L
14/07 Puerto Montt
Chile LNB
86-81 W
10/07 Las Animas
Chile LNB
51-97 L
09/06 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
55-69 L
06/06 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
61-62 L
05/06 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
87-83 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt vs Puerto Varas?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Puerto Montt 45% · Puerto Varas 55%).

How many points are expected in Puerto Montt vs Puerto Varas?

The model estimates 160.2 total points (Puerto Montt 79.2 · Puerto Varas 81).