Basketball · Chile LNB · 09/08, 02:00

Prediction: CSD Colo Colo vs CDU Concepcion

Team pages: CSD Colo Colo · CDU Concepcion

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164.7Total

CSD Colo Colo79.8

CDU Concepcion84.8

1X2

36% 64%

CSD Colo Colo CDU Concepcion

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Colo Colo 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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CDU Concepcion 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CSD Colo Colo 1–5 CDU Concepcion (6 last)

CDU Concepcion109-76CSD Colo Colo
CDU Concepcion88-72CSD Colo Colo
CSD Colo Colo60-74CDU Concepcion
CSD Colo Colo57-97CDU Concepcion
CSD Colo Colo66-89CDU Concepcion
CSD Colo Colo66-51CDU Concepcion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Colo Colo 1410 · CDU Concepcion 1585

	CSD Colo Colo	CDU Concepcion
Our model	38%	62%
Market	35%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 164.7 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points164.7CSD Colo Colo 79.8 · CDU Concepcion 84.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CDU Concepcion (rating 1410 vs 1585).
H2H favours CDU Concepcion: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CSD Colo Colo	CDU Concepcion
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.2 / 83	93.2 / 80.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	73.8 / 83	104 / 82.2
Est. result	80	85

Est. total164.7

Line O/U168.5

Diff.3.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.65

21.43

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.83

2 (-6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.83

Under 168.51.83

Diff.: 1.6 · Est. total: 166.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.65 → 2.65	Pinn 2.96 ★
2	1.43 → 1.43	Bet365 1.43

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 13.4%

Time*	1	2
12:16 +30’	2.65	1.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
12:43 +3’	3.06	1.23
13:46	2.96▼	1.26▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Colo Colo 1–0–5 CDU Concepcion

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Chile LNB	CDU Concepcion	109-76	CSD Colo Colo
26/04/26 Chile LNB	CDU Concepcion	88-72	CSD Colo Colo
05/04/26 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	60-74	CDU Concepcion
19/03/26 Chile Super Cup	CSD Colo Colo	57-97	CDU Concepcion
05/05/25 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	66-89	CDU Concepcion
04/05/25 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	66-51	CDU Concepcion

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference Center

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colegio Los Leones	6	6	0	495	411	12
2	CDU Concepcion	6	5	1	606	490	11
3	Universidad Catolica	6	4	2	494	481	10
4	CSD Colo Colo	8	2	6	605	643	10
5	Puente Alto	7	2	5	550	581	9
6	CD Espanol Talca	7	1	6	525	669	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Colo Colo	CDU Concepcion
Colegio Los Leones	60-61 L	74-86 L
CD Espanol Talca	67-80 L	136-77 W
Universidad Catolica	70-81 L	104-83 W
Puente Alto	96-84 W	97-89 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Colo Colo

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/08	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	60-61	L
03/08	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	67-80	L
31/07	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	70-81	L
24/07	Puente Alto Chile LNB	96-84	W
18/07	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	76-109	L
16/07	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	77-87	L
13/07	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	90-71	W
09/07	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	69-70	L
13/05	CD Boston College Chile LNB	71-84	L
11/05	CD Boston College Chile LNB	96-103	L

CDU Concepcion

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/08	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	74-86	L
31/07	Puente Alto Chile LNB	97-89	W
25/07	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	136-77	W
20/07	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	104-83	W
18/07	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	109-76	W
10/07	Puente Alto Chile LNB	86-79	W
10/06	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	78-79	L
08/06	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	81-74	W
07/06	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	78-83	L
01/06	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	89-78	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Colo Colo vs CDU Concepcion?

Our model gives 64% to CDU Concepcion.

How many points are expected in CSD Colo Colo vs CDU Concepcion?

The model estimates 164.7 total points (CSD Colo Colo 79.8 · CDU Concepcion 84.8).