Basketball · Chile LNB · 03/08, 01:30

Prediction: CD Castro vs Espanol Osorno

Team pages: CD Castro · Espanol Osorno

Prediction summary

Estimated points

159.5Total

CD Castro78

Espanol Osorno81.5

1X2

40% 60%

CD Castro Espanol Osorno

Recent form · 10 last

CD Castro 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLWWL

Espanol Osorno 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

CD Castro 0–6 Espanol Osorno (6 last)

Espanol Osorno92-78CD Castro
Espanol Osorno98-75CD Castro
CD Castro65-82Espanol Osorno
Espanol Osorno108-77CD Castro
CD Castro66-67Espanol Osorno
CD Castro73-84Espanol Osorno

Model analysis

Estimated points159.5CD Castro 78 · Espanol Osorno 81.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Espanol Osorno (rating 1429 vs 1588).
H2H favours Espanol Osorno: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CD Castro	Espanol Osorno
Points F\|A (Last 10)	73.8 / 85.7	81.9 / 78.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76 / 76.4	87.6 / 86
Est. result	78	82

Est. total159.5

Line O/U160

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1601.78

Under 1601.82

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 159.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.76 → 3.75▼	Pinn 3.75
2	1.14 → 1.14	Pinn 1.14

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 14.7%

Time*	1	2
05:44 +1’	3.76	1.14
06:44 +1’	3.75▼	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Castro 0–0–6 Espanol Osorno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/07/26 Chile LNB	Espanol Osorno	92-78	CD Castro
20/04/26 Chile LNB	Espanol Osorno	98-75	CD Castro
30/03/26 Chile LNB	CD Castro	65-82	Espanol Osorno
29/04/24 Chile LNB	Espanol Osorno	108-77	CD Castro
21/01/24 Chile LNB	CD Castro	66-67	Espanol Osorno
16/10/23 Chile LNB Cup	CD Castro	73-84	Espanol Osorno

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Espanol Osorno	6	5	1	525	500	11
2	Deportivo Valdivia	5	5	0	480	353	10
3	Las Animas	8	2	6	676	684	10
4	Puerto Varas	7	3	4	533	599	10
5	CD Castro	6	3	3	433	472	9
6	ABA Ancud	6	3	3	506	503	9
7	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	6	1	5	453	495	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Castro	Espanol Osorno
Deportivo Valdivia	79-92 L	82-108 L
Puerto Montt Basquetbol	69-64 W	85-70 W
ABA Ancud	76-73 W	92-91 W
Puerto Varas	69-77 L	87-76 W
Las Animas	87-76 W	92-85 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Castro (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Castro

LLLLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/08	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	79-92	L
27/07	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	69-64	W
23/07	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	76-73	W
20/07	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	69-77	L
19/07	Las Animas Chile LNB	87-76	W
13/07	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	78-92	L
12/07	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	54-90	L
11/05	Las Animas Chile LNB	69-92	L
08/05	Las Animas Chile LNB	71-112	L
04/05	Puerto Montt Chile LNB	86-89	L

Espanol Osorno

WWLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/08	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	92-91	W
27/07	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	87-76	W
26/07	Las Animas Chile LNB	92-85	W
20/07	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	85-70	W
16/07	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	82-108	L
13/07	CD Castro Chile LNB	92-78	W
12/07	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	87-83	W
14/06	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	71-77	L
09/06	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	69-55	W
06/06	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	62-61	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Castro vs Espanol Osorno?

Our model gives 60% to Espanol Osorno.

How many points are expected in CD Castro vs Espanol Osorno?

The model estimates 159.5 total points (CD Castro 78 · Espanol Osorno 81.5).