Basketball · Brazil Paulista 1 Div. · 23/08, 16:00

Prediction: Sao Jose vs Franca

Team pages: Sao Jose · Franca

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.1Total

Sao Jose75.8

Franca82.3

1X2

32% 68%

Sao Jose Franca

Recent form · 10 last

Sao Jose 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWL

Franca 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Sao Jose 1–5 Franca (6 last)

Sao Jose91-93Franca
Franca104-85Sao Jose
Franca91-54Sao Jose
Sao Jose76-84Franca
Sao Jose84-69Franca
Franca79-71Sao Jose

Model analysis

Estimated points158.1Sao Jose 75.8 · Franca 82.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Franca (rating 1411 vs 1629).
Franca is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Franca: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sao Jose	Franca
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78 / 80.3	80.3 / 69.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.8 / 81.2	79.6 / 63
Est. result	76	82

Est. total158.1

Line O/U152.5

Diff.5.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 152.51.93

Under 152.51.81

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 154.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.84 → 2.84	Pinn 2.84
2	1.37 → 1.37	Pinn 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8%

Time*	1	2
16:22 +26’	2.84	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Jose 1–0–5 Franca

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Brazil NBB	Sao Jose	91-93	Franca
05/12/25 Brazil NBB	Franca	104-85	Sao Jose
02/10/25 Brazil FPB	Franca	91-54	Sao Jose
28/09/25 Brazil FPB	Sao Jose	76-84	Franca
07/09/25 Brazil Paulista 1 Div.	Sao Jose	84-69	Franca
03/09/25 Brazil FPB	Franca	79-71	Sao Jose

Standings · Brazil Paulista 1 Div.

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Mogi das Cruzes	5	5	0	457	362
2	Franca	5	5	0	398	315
3	Corinthians	5	4	1	438	364
4	Bauru	5	3	2	372	357
5	Paulistano	5	2	3	387	385
6	Sao Jose	5	1	4	409	406
7	Pinheiros	5	0	5	321	401
8	Osasco	5	0	5	302	494

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sao Jose	Franca
Bauru	81-85 L	61-51 W
Osasco	114-45 W	101-52 W
Corinthians	68-91 L	79-77 W
Paulistano	79-84 L	78-74 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Franca (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sao Jose

WLLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/08	Bauru Brazil FPB	81-85	L
16/08	Osasco Brazil FPB	114-45	W
13/08	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB	67-101	L
08/08	Corinthians Brazil FPB	68-91	L
07/08	Paulistano Brazil FPB	79-84	L
28/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	70-81	L
25/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	75-79	L
23/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	70-75	L
18/04	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	88-97	L
16/04	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	68-65	W

Franca

WWWLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/08	Pinheiros Brazil FPB	79-61	W
15/08	Corinthians Brazil FPB	79-77	W
14/08	Paulistano Brazil FPB	78-74	W
09/08	Osasco Brazil FPB	101-52	W
06/08	Bauru Brazil FPB	61-51	W
07/06	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	85-76	W
04/06	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	92-94	L
03/06	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	78-75	W
31/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	82-73	W
29/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	68-66	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sao Jose vs Franca?

Our model gives 68% to Franca.

How many points are expected in Sao Jose vs Franca?

The model estimates 158.1 total points (Sao Jose 75.8 · Franca 82.3).