Basketball · Brazil Paulista 1 Div. · 22/08, 23:00

Prediction: Bauru vs Paulistano

Team pages: Bauru · Paulistano

Prediction summary

Estimated points

153.8Total

Bauru78.5

Paulistano75.3

1X2

59% 41%

Bauru Paulistano

Recent form · 10 last

Bauru 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Paulistano 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bauru 1–5 Paulistano (6 last)

Paulistano71-62Bauru
Bauru88-75Paulistano
Bauru80-95Paulistano
Paulistano80-77Bauru
Bauru87-89Paulistano
Paulistano66-59Bauru

Model analysis

Estimated points153.8Bauru 78.5 · Paulistano 75.3

Match keys

H2H favours Paulistano: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bauru	Paulistano
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.4 / 77.2	76.7 / 79.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74.4 / 71.4	77.4 / 77
Est. result	79	75

Est. total153.8

Line O/U149

Diff.4.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1491.89

Under 1491.84

Diff.: 4.95 · Est. total: 153.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Pinn 1.32
2	3.06 → 3.06	Pinn 3.06

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.3%

Time*	1	2
23:44 +1’	1.32	3.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bauru 1–0–5 Paulistano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 Brazil NBB	Paulistano	71-62	Bauru
26/04/26 Brazil NBB	Bauru	88-75	Paulistano
25/04/26 Brazil NBB	Bauru	80-95	Paulistano
22/04/26 Brazil NBB	Paulistano	80-77	Bauru
16/01/26 Brazil NBB	Bauru	87-89	Paulistano
21/10/25 Brazil NBB	Paulistano	66-59	Bauru

Standings · Brazil Paulista 1 Div.

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Mogi das Cruzes	5	5	0	457	362
2	Franca	5	5	0	398	315
3	Corinthians	5	4	1	438	364
4	Bauru	5	3	2	372	357
5	Paulistano	5	2	3	387	385
6	Sao Jose	5	1	4	409	406
7	Pinheiros	5	0	5	321	401
8	Osasco	5	0	5	302	494

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bauru	Paulistano
Sao Jose	85-81 W	84-79 W
Mogi das Cruzes	71-88 L	82-86 L
Pinheiros	74-63 W	67-59 W
Franca	51-61 L	74-78 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Paulistano (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bauru

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/08	Sao Jose Brazil FPB	85-81	W
15/08	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB	71-88	L
14/08	Osasco Brazil FPB	91-64	W
08/08	Pinheiros Brazil FPB	74-63	W
06/08	Franca Brazil FPB	51-61	L
30/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	62-71	L
26/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	88-75	W
25/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	80-95	L
22/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	77-80	L
18/04	Brasilia Brazil NBB	65-94	L

Paulistano

LWLLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/08	Corinthians Brazil FPB	80-83	L
16/08	Pinheiros Brazil FPB	67-59	W
14/08	Franca Brazil FPB	74-78	L
09/08	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB	82-86	L
07/08	Sao Jose Brazil FPB	84-79	W
10/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	74-84	L
08/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	68-76	L
05/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	92-101	L
30/04	Bauru Brazil NBB	71-62	W
26/04	Bauru Brazil NBB	75-88	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bauru vs Paulistano?

Our model gives 59% to Bauru.

How many points are expected in Bauru vs Paulistano?

The model estimates 153.8 total points (Bauru 78.5 · Paulistano 75.3).